PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin

Millonarios 2–0 Cúcuta Deportivo · Primera A

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Millonarios won 2–0.

Shots
214
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.740.23
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Millonarios beat Cucuta 2–0. Recorded in this match (Millonarios – Cucuta): shots 21–4, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.74–0.23, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Millonarios's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Millonarios's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Millonarios show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Millonarios's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsMillonarios · Cucuta7.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMillonariosCucutaBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match7.5 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match17.9 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots4 shotsMillonarios 21 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 4 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsMillonarios 5 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.74 xG0.23 xGMillonarios 1.74 xG, Cúcuta Deportivo 0.23 xG
  • Possession52%48%Millonarios 52%, Cúcuta Deportivo 48%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerMillonarios 5 corners, Cúcuta Deportivo 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsMillonarios 12 fouls, Cúcuta Deportivo 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards5 cardsMillonarios 2 cards, Cúcuta Deportivo 5 cards
  • Passes359 passes335 passesMillonarios 359 passes, Cúcuta Deportivo 335 passes
  • Pass accuracy81%77%Millonarios 81%, Cúcuta Deportivo 77%
  • Shots inside box12 shots1 shotMillonarios 12 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 1 shot
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksMillonarios 5 blocks, Cúcuta Deportivo 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesMillonarios 2 saves, Cúcuta Deportivo 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesMillonarios 2 offsides, Cúcuta Deportivo 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Millonarios favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Cúcuta Deportivo in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Millonarios10 matchesCúcuta Deportivo10 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/102.1 goals/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/60.8 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots10/107.5 shots/match
4.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/103.4 shots/match
45.7% ●Possession10/1045%
4.9 corners/match ●Corners10/103.1 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 10 Mar 2026, 03:20 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMillonariosCúcuta Deportivo
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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