Primera A · 2026Estadio Bello Horizonte

Llaneros FC 2–0 Jaguares de Córdoba · Primera A

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Llaneros FC won 2–0.

Shots
1114
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.471.02
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Llaneros beat Jaguares 2–0. Recorded in this match (Llaneros – Jaguares): shots 11–14, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.47–1.02, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Jaguares's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Jaguares's last-five shots average is above their season average.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season8.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match8.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Llaneros.

3.91 days ▲Rest daysLlaneros · Jaguares4.83 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLlanerosJaguaresBaseline
Rest days3.91 days4.83 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Jaguares show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Jaguares's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.3 shots/match ▲ShotsLlaneros · Jaguares8.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLlanerosJaguaresBaseline
Shots9.3 shots/match8.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match14 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots14 shotsLlaneros FC 11 shots, Jaguares de Córdoba 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsLlaneros FC 2 shots, Jaguares de Córdoba 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.47 xG1.02 xGLlaneros FC 1.47 xG, Jaguares de Córdoba 1.02 xG
  • Possession49%51%Llaneros FC 49%, Jaguares de Córdoba 51%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersLlaneros FC 2 corners, Jaguares de Córdoba 7 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls13 foulsLlaneros FC 19 fouls, Jaguares de Córdoba 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsLlaneros FC 2 cards, Jaguares de Córdoba 4 cards
  • Passes256 passes259 passesLlaneros FC 256 passes, Jaguares de Córdoba 259 passes
  • Pass accuracy75%74%Llaneros FC 75%, Jaguares de Córdoba 74%
  • Shots inside box7 shots10 shotsLlaneros FC 7 shots, Jaguares de Córdoba 10 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks4 blocksLlaneros FC 2 blocks, Jaguares de Córdoba 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves1 saveLlaneros FC 4 saves, Jaguares de Córdoba 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesLlaneros FC 2 offsides, Jaguares de Córdoba 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Llaneros FC favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Jaguares de Córdoba in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Llaneros FC10 matchesJaguares de Córdoba10 matches
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
0.9 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/70.75 xG/match
9.3 shots/matchShots10/108.9 shots/match
3.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/103 shots/match
49.9% ●Possession10/1045.9%
4.8 corners/match ●Corners10/104.2 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/35 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 10 Mar 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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