PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Departamental Libertad

Deportivo Pasto 3–2 Cúcuta Deportivo · Primera A

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportivo Pasto won 3–2.

Shots
227
Shots on target
105
Expected goals
1.530.52
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportivo Pasto beat Cucuta 3–2. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Pasto – Cucuta): shots 22–7, shots on target 10–5, expected goals 1.53–0.52, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportivo Pasto show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Deportivo Pasto's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsDeportivo Pasto · Cucuta7.89 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo PastoCucutaBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match7.89 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match17.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Cucuta's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cucuta's last-five shots average is above their season average.

9.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season7.89 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.6 shots/match7.89 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots7 shotsDeportivo Pasto 22 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 7 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots5 shotsDeportivo Pasto 10 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.53 xG0.52 xGDeportivo Pasto 1.53 xG, Cúcuta Deportivo 0.52 xG
  • Possession53%47%Deportivo Pasto 53%, Cúcuta Deportivo 47%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersDeportivo Pasto 6 corners, Cúcuta Deportivo 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls5 foulsDeportivo Pasto 7 fouls, Cúcuta Deportivo 5 fouls
  • Passes417 passes369 passesDeportivo Pasto 417 passes, Cúcuta Deportivo 369 passes
  • Pass accuracy85%86%Deportivo Pasto 85%, Cúcuta Deportivo 86%
  • Shots inside box12 shots4 shotsDeportivo Pasto 12 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 4 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks0 blocksDeportivo Pasto 7 blocks, Cúcuta Deportivo 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves6 savesDeportivo Pasto 3 saves, Cúcuta Deportivo 6 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesDeportivo Pasto 2 offsides, Cúcuta Deportivo 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Pasto favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Cúcuta Deportivo in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Pasto9 matchesCúcuta Deportivo9 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.56 goals/match
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/92.11 goals/match
1.52 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/50.91 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots9/97.89 shots/match
4.22 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/93.56 shots/match
52.3% ●Possession9/944.7%
3.67 corners/match ●Corners9/93.33 corners/match
4.25 cards/matchCards4/43.5 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls9/911.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo PastoCúcuta Deportivo
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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