Fortaleza CEIF
Primera A · 2026Fortaleza CEIF 1–1 Independiente Santa Fe · Primera A
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Fortaleza CEIF and Independiente Santa Fe drew 1–1.
- Shots
- 13–6
- Shots on target
- 2–3
- Expected goals
- 0.59–0.79
- Possession
- 57%–43%
Full time
What the match recorded
Fortaleza FC and Santa Fe drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza FC – Santa Fe): shots 13–6, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.59–0.79, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Both teams have elevated corners records
moderateEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Fortaleza FC | Santa Fe | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 5.4 corners/match | 5.6 corners/match | 4 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
Santa Fe have a visible away split
weakSanta Fe's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 11.7 shots/match | 14.6 shots/match | 11 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
weakA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Santa Fe.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Fortaleza FC | Santa Fe | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 7.1 days | 7.01 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 2 matches | 3 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
This match
Match statistics
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Fortaleza CEIF favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Independiente Santa Fe in 3 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Fortaleza CEIF / Independiente Santa Fe
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
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