Primera A · 2026Estadio Jaraguay

Jaguares de Córdoba 0–2 Junior Barranquilla · Primera A

0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Junior Barranquilla won 0–2.

Shots
189
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.330.82
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Junior beat Jaguares 2–0. Recorded in this match (Jaguares – Junior): shots 18–9, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.33–0.82, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Jaguares have a visible home split

moderate

Jaguares's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

9.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season7.88 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.8 shots/match7.88 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Junior show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Junior's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

7.88 shots/match ▲ShotsJaguares · Junior14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJaguaresJuniorBaseline
Shots7.88 shots/match14.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against14.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Jaguares's recent record differs from the season

weak

Jaguares's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsJaguares de Córdoba 18 shots, Junior Barranquilla 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsJaguares de Córdoba 3 shots, Junior Barranquilla 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.33 xG0.82 xGJaguares de Córdoba 1.33 xG, Junior Barranquilla 0.82 xG
  • Possession56%44%Jaguares de Córdoba 56%, Junior Barranquilla 44%
  • Corners15 corners0 cornersJaguares de Córdoba 15 corners, Junior Barranquilla 0 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls22 foulsJaguares de Córdoba 11 fouls, Junior Barranquilla 22 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsJaguares de Córdoba 4 cards, Junior Barranquilla 4 cards
  • Passes379 passes325 passesJaguares de Córdoba 379 passes, Junior Barranquilla 325 passes
  • Pass accuracy82%81%Jaguares de Córdoba 82%, Junior Barranquilla 81%
  • Shots inside box7 shots6 shotsJaguares de Córdoba 7 shots, Junior Barranquilla 6 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks3 blocksJaguares de Córdoba 5 blocks, Junior Barranquilla 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesJaguares de Córdoba 1 save, Junior Barranquilla 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideJaguares de Córdoba 2 offsides, Junior Barranquilla 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Jaguares de Córdoba favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Junior Barranquilla in 11 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Jaguares de Córdoba8 matchesJunior Barranquilla8 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.25 goals/match
0.63 xG/matchExpected goals5/6▲ 1.68 xG/match
7.88 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 14.9 shots/match
2.63 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5.25 shots/match
46.1%Possession8/8● 55.5%
4 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4.38 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls8/813.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 03:20 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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