Universidad Católica
Primera División · 2026Universidad Católica 5–1 Universidad de Concepción · Primera División
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Universidad Católica won 5–1.
- Shots
- 14–11
- Shots on target
- 6–1
- Expected goals
- 2.5–1.6
- Possession
- 55%–45%
Full time
What the match recorded
U. Catolica beat Universidad de Concepcion 5–1. Recorded in this match (U. Catolica – Universidad de Concepcion): shots 14–11, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 2.5–1.6, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Universidad de Concepcion's recent record differs from the season
weakUniversidad de Concepcion's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 goal/match | 0.87 goals/match | 1.28 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
U. Catolica show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakU. Catolica's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | U. Catolica | Universidad de Concepcion | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 13.4 shots/match | 13 shots/match | 12.3 shots/match |
| Shots against | 10.1 shots/match | 14.5 shots/match | 12.5 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateU. Catolica have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.1 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | U. Catolica | Universidad de Concepcion | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 56.5% | 48.4% | 48.4% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Universidad Católica favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Universidad de Concepción in 1 · 4 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
Universidad Católica / Universidad de Concepción
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
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