PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero

Huachipato 0–3 Universidad Católica · Primera División

0–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Universidad Católica won 0–3.

Shots
1316
Shots on target
55
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

U. Catolica beat Huachipato 3–0. Recorded in this match (Huachipato – U. Catolica): shots 13–16, shots on target 5–5, possession 48%–52%, corners 8–7. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

U. Catolica's recent record differs from the season

moderate

U. Catolica's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.14 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

U. Catolica show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

U. Catolica's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHuachipato · U. Catolica13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHuachipatoU. CatolicaBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against14.1 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

U. Catolica have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.1%PossessionHuachipato · U. Catolica● 56.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricHuachipatoU. CatolicaBaseline
Possession48.1%56.6%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots16 shotsHuachipato 13 shots, Universidad Católica 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsHuachipato 5 shots, Universidad Católica 5 shots
  • Possession48%52%Huachipato 48%, Universidad Católica 52%
  • Corners8 corners7 cornersHuachipato 8 corners, Universidad Católica 7 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsHuachipato 11 fouls, Universidad Católica 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsHuachipato 1 card, Universidad Católica 2 cards
  • Passes364 passes401 passesHuachipato 364 passes, Universidad Católica 401 passes
  • Pass accuracy78%78%Huachipato 78%, Universidad Católica 78%
  • Shots inside box11 shots12 shotsHuachipato 11 shots, Universidad Católica 12 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksHuachipato 5 blocks, Universidad Católica 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves6 savesHuachipato 2 saves, Universidad Católica 6 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideHuachipato 2 offsides, Universidad Católica 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Huachipato
3Draws
2Universidad Católica
Huachipato — Universidad Católica · Primera División0–0
Universidad Católica — Huachipato · Primera División1–0
Universidad Católica — Huachipato · Primera División4–0
Huachipato — Universidad Católica · Primera División0–0
Huachipato — Universidad Católica · Primera División1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Huachipato favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Universidad Católica in 7 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Huachipato14 matchesUniversidad Católica14 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 2.14 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals4/3▲ 1.4 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 13.4 shots/match
4.86 shots/matchShots on target14/144.93 shots/match
48.1%Possession14/14● 56.6%
3.5 corners/matchCorners14/14● 5.07 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHuachipatoUniversidad Católica
CompetitionPrimera División
Head-to-headHuachipato — Universidad Católica
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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