PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Estadio Ester Roa

Deportes Concepción 3–2 Deportes Limache · Primera División

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportes Concepción won 3–2.

Shots
237
Shots on target
124
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Concepción beat Deportes Limache 3–2. Recorded in this match (Concepción – Deportes Limache): shots 23–7, shots on target 12–4, possession 49%–51%, corners 7–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Concepción's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Concepción's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Deportes Limache have a visible away split

moderate

Deportes Limache's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.88 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.88 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots7 shotsDeportes Concepción 23 shots, Deportes Limache 7 shots
  • Shots on target12 shots4 shotsDeportes Concepción 12 shots, Deportes Limache 4 shots
  • Possession49%51%Deportes Concepción 49%, Deportes Limache 51%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersDeportes Concepción 7 corners, Deportes Limache 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsDeportes Concepción 11 fouls, Deportes Limache 9 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes Concepción favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Deportes Limache in 5 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes Concepción15 matchesDeportes Limache15 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 2 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed15/151.53 goals/match
0.72 xG/matchExpected goals4/3▲ 2.2 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots15/1511.3 shots/match
3.47 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 4.47 shots/match
47.5% ●Possession15/1545.5%
4.53 corners/match ●Corners15/153.67 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls15/157.93 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Jun 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportes ConcepciónDeportes Limache
CompetitionPrimera División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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