PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida

Audax Italiano 3–0 Deportes Concepción · Primera División

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Audax Italiano won 3–0.

Shots
717
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.220.85
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

A. Italiano beat Concepción 3–0. Recorded in this match (A. Italiano – Concepción): shots 7–17, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.22–0.85, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

A. Italiano's recent record differs from the season

weak

A. Italiano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots17 shotsAudax Italiano 7 shots, Deportes Concepción 17 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsAudax Italiano 3 shots, Deportes Concepción 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.22 xG0.85 xGAudax Italiano 1.22 xG, Deportes Concepción 0.85 xG
  • Possession50%50%Audax Italiano 50%, Deportes Concepción 50%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersAudax Italiano 2 corners, Deportes Concepción 2 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls13 foulsAudax Italiano 7 fouls, Deportes Concepción 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsAudax Italiano 2 cards, Deportes Concepción 2 cards
  • Passes423 passes412 passesAudax Italiano 423 passes, Deportes Concepción 412 passes
  • Pass accuracy81%84%Audax Italiano 81%, Deportes Concepción 84%
  • Shots inside box6 shots8 shotsAudax Italiano 6 shots, Deportes Concepción 8 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks2 blocksAudax Italiano 0 blocks, Deportes Concepción 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves0 savesAudax Italiano 3 saves, Deportes Concepción 0 saves
  • Offsides1 offside5 offsidesAudax Italiano 1 offside, Deportes Concepción 5 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Audax Italiano favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Deportes Concepción in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Audax Italiano7 matchesDeportes Concepción7 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored7/70.57 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.71 goals/match
9.43 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 12.4 shots/match
3.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73 shots/match
51.7%Possession7/7● 51.9%
3.71 corners/matchCorners7/7● 5.29 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match
9.29 fouls/matchFouls7/710.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAudax ItalianoDeportes Concepción
CompetitionPrimera División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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