PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

Universidad Católica 2–2 Everton de Viña del Mar · Primera División

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Universidad Católica and Everton de Viña del Mar drew 2–2.

Shots
145
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.040.34
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

U. Catolica and Everton de Vina drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (U. Catolica – Everton de Vina): shots 14–5, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.04–0.34, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Everton de Vina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Everton de Vina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

U. Catolica show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

U. Catolica's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsU. Catolica · Everton de Vina10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricU. CatolicaEverton de VinaBaseline
Shots14 shots/match10.7 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against9.14 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

U. Catolica have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.3% ●PossessionU. Catolica · Everton de Vina46.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricU. CatolicaEverton de VinaBaseline
Possession59.3%46.4%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots5 shotsUniversidad Católica 14 shots, Everton de Viña del Mar 5 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsUniversidad Católica 3 shots, Everton de Viña del Mar 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.04 xG0.34 xGUniversidad Católica 1.04 xG, Everton de Viña del Mar 0.34 xG
  • Possession66%34%Universidad Católica 66%, Everton de Viña del Mar 34%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersUniversidad Católica 4 corners, Everton de Viña del Mar 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls18 foulsUniversidad Católica 14 fouls, Everton de Viña del Mar 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards2 cardsUniversidad Católica 5 cards, Everton de Viña del Mar 2 cards
  • Passes507 passes265 passesUniversidad Católica 507 passes, Everton de Viña del Mar 265 passes
  • Pass accuracy83%71%Universidad Católica 83%, Everton de Viña del Mar 71%
  • Shots inside box9 shots2 shotsUniversidad Católica 9 shots, Everton de Viña del Mar 2 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks1 blockUniversidad Católica 5 blocks, Everton de Viña del Mar 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save0 savesUniversidad Católica 1 save, Everton de Viña del Mar 0 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesUniversidad Católica 1 offside, Everton de Viña del Mar 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Universidad Católica
1Draws
2Everton de Viña del Mar
Everton de Viña del Mar — Universidad Católica · Primera División0–3
Universidad Católica — Everton de Viña del Mar · Primera División6–0
Everton de Viña del Mar — Universidad Católica · Primera División0–0
Universidad Católica — Everton de Viña del Mar · Primera División2–4
Universidad Católica — Everton de Viña del Mar · Primera División0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad Católica favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Everton de Viña del Mar in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad Católica7 matchesEverton de Viña del Mar7 matches
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.29 goals/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots7/710.7 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.43 shots/match
59.3% ●Possession7/746.4%
4.43 corners/match ●Corners7/73.29 corners/match
5.4 cards/matchCards5/43.75 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls7/713.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad CatólicaEverton de Viña del Mar
CompetitionPrimera División
Head-to-headUniversidad Católica — Everton de Viña del Mar
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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