PitchMath
Primera División · 2026Estadio Ester Roa

Deportes Concepción 0–2 Ñublense · Primera División

0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Ñublense won 0–2.

Shots
814
Shots on target
26
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nublense beat Concepción 2–0. Recorded in this match (Concepción – Nublense): shots 8–14, shots on target 2–6, possession 57%–43%, corners 9–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.83 corners/match ●CornersConcepción · Nublense5.67 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricConcepciónNublenseBaseline
Corners5.83 corners/match5.67 corners/match4.4 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Concepción show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Concepción's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsConcepción · Nublense11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricConcepciónNublenseBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match11.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match8.67 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots14 shotsDeportes Concepción 8 shots, Ñublense 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsDeportes Concepción 2 shots, Ñublense 6 shots
  • Possession57%43%Deportes Concepción 57%, Ñublense 43%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersDeportes Concepción 9 corners, Ñublense 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls8 foulsDeportes Concepción 13 fouls, Ñublense 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsDeportes Concepción 2 cards, Ñublense 4 cards
  • Passes448 passes349 passesDeportes Concepción 448 passes, Ñublense 349 passes
  • Pass accuracy81%75%Deportes Concepción 81%, Ñublense 75%
  • Shots inside box5 shots9 shotsDeportes Concepción 5 shots, Ñublense 9 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks1 blockDeportes Concepción 0 blocks, Ñublense 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves2 savesDeportes Concepción 4 saves, Ñublense 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideDeportes Concepción 1 offside, Ñublense 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes Concepción favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Ñublense in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes Concepción6 matchesÑublense6 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.67 goals/match
11.7 shots/matchShots6/611.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target6/63 shots/match
52.2% ●Possession6/644.7%
5.83 corners/match ●Corners6/65.67 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/43.25 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls6/614.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsDeportes ConcepciónÑublense
CompetitionPrimera División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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