Ñublense
Primera División · 2026Ñublense 1–2 Universidad Católica · Primera División
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Universidad Católica won 1–2.
- Shots
- 6–10
- Shots on target
- 3–6
- Possession
- 40%–60%
Full time
What the match recorded
U. Catolica beat Nublense 2–1. Recorded in this match (Nublense – U. Catolica): shots 6–10, shots on target 3–6, possession 40%–60%, corners 3–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Nublense have a visible home split
weakNublense's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 13 shots/match | 11 shots/match | 11.4 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateU. Catolica have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.6 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Nublense | U. Catolica | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 45% | 57.6% | 49.7% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
Both teams have elevated fouls records
weakEach team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Nublense | U. Catolica | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 15.4 fouls/match | 13 fouls/match | 11.7 fouls/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Ñublense favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Universidad Católica in 6 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
Ñublense / Universidad Católica
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
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