PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

GAIS 0–1 IK Sirius · Allsvenskan

GAIS

LWDLW
0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

IK Sirius won 0–1.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
13
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

IK Sirius beat GAIS 1–0. Recorded in this match (GAIS – IK Sirius): shots 16–10, shots on target 1–3, possession 56%–44%, corners 8–8. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

IK Sirius's recent record differs from the season

moderate

IK Sirius's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2.3 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsGAIS 16 shots, IK Sirius 10 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsGAIS 1 shot, IK Sirius 3 shots
  • Possession56%44%GAIS 56%, IK Sirius 44%
  • Corners8 corners8 cornersGAIS 8 corners, IK Sirius 8 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls9 foulsGAIS 7 fouls, IK Sirius 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsGAIS 2 cards, IK Sirius 0 cards
  • Passes533 passes426 passesGAIS 533 passes, IK Sirius 426 passes
  • Pass accuracy80.9%81.5%GAIS 80.9%, IK Sirius 81.5%
  • Shots inside box9 shots9 shotsGAIS 9 shots, IK Sirius 9 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks4 blocksGAIS 6 blocks, IK Sirius 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 saveGAIS 2 saves, IK Sirius 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesGAIS 2 offsides, IK Sirius 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. Half-time
  2. 77′August WängbergYellow card · GAIS
  3. 78′Isak BjerkeboGoal · IK Sirius
  4. 90′Jonas LindbergYellow card · GAIS
  5. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 56′IK Sirius · 1 player changeJoakim Persson
  • 62′GAIS · 1 player changeSamuel Salter
  • 63′GAIS · 1 player changeChristos Gravius
  • 72′IK Sirius · 1 player changeNeo Jönsson
  • 72′GAIS · 1 player changeOscar Pettersson
  • 72′IK Sirius · 1 player changeAdam Wikman
  • 73′GAIS · 1 player changeJonas Lindberg
  • 85′GAIS · 1 player changeRobin Wendin Thomasson
  • 88′IK Sirius · 1 player changeMohamed Soumah

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

GAIS
  1. Mergim KrasniqiG
  2. Matteo de BrienneD
  3. Oskar ÅgrenD
  4. August WängbergD
  5. Filip BeckmanD
  6. Joackim FagerjordM
  7. Henry SletsjoeM
  8. Simon Girke JørgensenM
  9. Rasmus NiklassonF
  10. Max AnderssonF
  11. Nikola VasicF
IK Sirius
  1. David CelicG
  2. Tobias AnkerD
  3. Henrik CastegrenD
  4. Simon SandbergD
  5. Oscar KrusnellD
  6. Melker HeierM
  7. Charlie NildenM
  8. Victor SvenssonM
  9. Isak BjerkeboF
  10. Åke AnderssonF
  11. Zalán VancsaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2GAIS
0Draws
3IK Sirius
IK Sirius — GAIS · Allsvenskan2–1
IK Sirius — GAIS · Allsvenskan3–0
GAIS — IK Sirius · Allsvenskan2–1
GAIS — IK Sirius · Allsvenskan2–1
IK Sirius — GAIS · Allsvenskan3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: GAIS favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · IK Sirius in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

GAIS23 matchesIK Sirius23 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 2.3 goals/match
0.91 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/231.22 goals/match
1.85 xG/matchExpected goals9/10▲ 2.66 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots23/2314.6 shots/match
4.87 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 5.65 shots/match
50.5% ●Possession23/2347.3%
5.13 corners/matchCorners23/23● 5.7 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls23/2312 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGAISIK Sirius
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headGAIS — IK Sirius
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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