PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

GAIS vs IK Sirius · Allsvenskan

GAIS

LLWDL
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.192.36
Expected goals
1.852.66
Shots
14.814.8
Possession
50.3%47.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: IK Sirius's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

IK Sirius's recent record differs from the season

moderate

IK Sirius's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match2.36 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: GAIS favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · IK Sirius in 6 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

GAIS21 matchesIK Sirius22 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored21/22▲ 2.36 goals/match
0.95 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/221.27 goals/match
1.85 xG/matchExpected goals9/10▲ 2.66 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots21/2214.8 shots/match
5.05 shots/matchShots on target21/22▲ 5.77 shots/match
50.3% ●Possession21/2247.5%
5.24 corners/matchCorners21/22● 5.59 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls21/2212.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2GAIS
0Draws
3IK Sirius
IK Sirius — GAIS · Allsvenskan2–1
IK Sirius — GAIS · Allsvenskan3–0
GAIS — IK Sirius · Allsvenskan2–1
GAIS — IK Sirius · Allsvenskan2–1
IK Sirius — GAIS · Allsvenskan3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness26 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGAISIK Sirius
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headGAIS — IK Sirius
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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