PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

AIK 5–6 IF Brommapojkarna · Allsvenskan

AIK

WDLDL
5–6Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

IF Brommapojkarna won 5–6.

Shots
2513
Shots on target
129
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

IF Brommapojkarna beat AIK 6–5. Recorded in this match (AIK – IF Brommapojkarna): shots 25–13, shots on target 12–9, possession 68%–32%, corners 11–0. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AIK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AIK's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18.4 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AIK have a visible home split

moderate

AIK's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

AIK show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

AIK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAIK · IF Brommapojkarna11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAIKIF BrommapojkarnaBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match11 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against15.9 shots/match17 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots13 shotsAIK 25 shots, IF Brommapojkarna 13 shots
  • Shots on target12 shots9 shotsAIK 12 shots, IF Brommapojkarna 9 shots
  • Possession68%32%AIK 68%, IF Brommapojkarna 32%
  • Corners11 corners0 cornersAIK 11 corners, IF Brommapojkarna 0 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsAIK 11 fouls, IF Brommapojkarna 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsAIK 1 card, IF Brommapojkarna 4 cards
  • Passes643 passes305 passesAIK 643 passes, IF Brommapojkarna 305 passes
  • Pass accuracy89.1%76.7%AIK 89.1%, IF Brommapojkarna 76.7%
  • Shots inside box19 shots12 shotsAIK 19 shots, IF Brommapojkarna 12 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksAIK 5 blocks, IF Brommapojkarna 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves7 savesAIK 2 saves, IF Brommapojkarna 7 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesAIK 1 offside, IF Brommapojkarna 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 28′Wilmer OdefalkYellow card · IF Brommapojkarna
  2. Half-time
  3. 48′Simon StrandGoal · IF Brommapojkarna
  4. 55′Abdihakin AliGoal · AIK
  5. 57′Mads HansenYellow card · IF Brommapojkarna
  6. 58′Mads Døhr ThychosenYellow card · AIK
  7. 59′Kamilcan SeverGoal · IF Brommapojkarna
  8. 61′Wilmer OdefalkGoal · IF Brommapojkarna
  9. 65′Kamilcan SeverGoal · IF Brommapojkarna
  10. 70′Anton KurochkinGoal · IF Brommapojkarna
  11. 73′Taha AyariGoal · AIK
  12. 81′Sixten GustafssonGoal · AIK
  13. 84′Sixten GustafssonGoal · AIK
  14. 90′Johan HoveGoal · AIK
  15. 90′Mads HansenGoal · IF Brommapojkarna
  16. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 65′AIK · 1 player changeLukas Bergquist
  • 65′IF Brommapojkarna · 1 player changeLukas Björklund
  • 65′AIK · 1 player changeTaha Ayari
  • 72′IF Brommapojkarna · 1 player changeDavid Isso
  • 75′AIK · 2 player changesDiogo Tomas · Sixten Gustafsson
  • 76′IF Brommapojkarna · 1 player changePavle Vagić
  • 90′AIK · 1 player changeWilmer Olofsson

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

AIK
  1. Kristoffer NordfeldtG
  2. Eskil EdhD
  3. Herve MatthysD
  4. Mads Døhr ThychosenD
  5. Sebastian HausnerD
  6. Johan HoveM
  7. Abdihakin AliM
  8. Yannick GeigerM
  9. Linus CarlstrandF
  10. Lucas AssadiF
  11. Axel KouameF
IF Brommapojkarna
  1. Leo CavalliusG
  2. Andreas TroelsenD
  3. Oliver ZandénD
  4. Simon StrandD
  5. Jordan SimpsonD
  6. Mads HansenM
  7. Anton KurochkinM
  8. Wilmer OdefalkM
  9. Kaare BarslundM
  10. Oliver BergF
  11. Kamilcan SeverF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3AIK
2Draws
0IF Brommapojkarna
IF Brommapojkarna — AIK · Allsvenskan2–2
AIK — IF Brommapojkarna · Allsvenskan2–1
IF Brommapojkarna — AIK · Allsvenskan0–1
AIK — IF Brommapojkarna · Allsvenskan2–1
IF Brommapojkarna — AIK · Allsvenskan2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AIK favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · IF Brommapojkarna in 2 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AIK23 matchesIF Brommapojkarna24 matches
1.57 goals/matchGoals scored23/241.54 goals/match
1.74 goals/matchGoals allowed23/241.79 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals10/141.16 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots23/2411 shots/match
4.96 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/243.5 shots/match
54% ●Possession23/2446.4%
5.35 corners/match ●Corners23/244.38 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls23/2410.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples23 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAIKIF Brommapojkarna
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headAIK — IF Brommapojkarna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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