PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

Mjällby AIF vs Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.290.9
Expected goals
1.710.98
Shots
12.711
Possession
51.3%46.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: mjällby AIF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Mjällby AIF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mjällby AIF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mjällby AIF favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Degerfors IF in 4 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mjällby AIF21 matchesDegerfors IF21 matches
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/210.9 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.71 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/130.98 xG/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots21/2111 shots/match
4.81 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/213.19 shots/match
51.3% ●Possession21/2146.8%
4.57 corners/matchCorners21/21● 4.86 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls21/2113.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Mjällby AIF
0Draws
0Degerfors IF
Degerfors IF — Mjällby AIF · Allsvenskan1–4
Degerfors IF — Mjällby AIF · Allsvenskan0–1
Mjällby AIF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan4–1
Degerfors IF — Mjällby AIF · Allsvenskan1–2
Mjällby AIF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness26 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMjällby AIFDegerfors IF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headMjällby AIF — Degerfors IF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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