PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

IK Sirius vs IF Elfsborg · Allsvenskan

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.381.38
Expected goals
2.661.73
Shots
15.212.2
Possession
47.6%48.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: IK Sirius's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

IK Sirius's recent record differs from the season

moderate

IK Sirius's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2.38 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: IK Sirius favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · IF Elfsborg in 2 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

IK Sirius21 matchesIF Elfsborg21 matches
2.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211.38 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1 goal/match
2.66 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/81.73 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots21/2112.2 shots/match
5.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/214.14 shots/match
47.6%Possession21/21● 48.1%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners21/214.1 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls21/2111 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3IK Sirius
0Draws
2IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg — IK Sirius · Allsvenskan1–3
IK Sirius — IF Elfsborg · Allsvenskan4–0
IF Elfsborg — IK Sirius · Allsvenskan4–3
IK Sirius — IF Elfsborg · Allsvenskan4–1
IF Elfsborg — IK Sirius · Allsvenskan2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIK SiriusIF Elfsborg
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headIK Sirius — IF Elfsborg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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