PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF · Allsvenskan

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.521.65
Expected goals
1.732.25
Shots
12.615.1
Possession
48.3%56.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: malmö FF's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: malmö FF have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Malmö FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Malmö FF's last-five shots average is above their season average.

20.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots20.2 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Malmö FF have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.3%PossessionIF Elfsborg · Malmö FF● 56.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricIF ElfsborgMalmö FFBaseline
Possession48.3%56.7%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: IF Elfsborg favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Malmö FF in 5 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

IF Elfsborg23 matchesMalmö FF23 matches
1.52 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.65 goals/match
0.96 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/231.43 goals/match
1.73 xG/matchExpected goals8/11▲ 2.25 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 15.1 shots/match
4.22 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 5.13 shots/match
48.3%Possession23/23● 56.7%
4.39 corners/matchCorners23/23● 4.91 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2314.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2IF Elfsborg
1Draws
2Malmö FF
Malmö FF — IF Elfsborg · Allsvenskan1–2
IF Elfsborg — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan2–2
Malmö FF — IF Elfsborg · Allsvenskan2–1
Malmö FF — IF Elfsborg · Allsvenskan2–1
IF Elfsborg — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness11 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIF ElfsborgMalmö FF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headIF Elfsborg — Malmö FF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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