Allsvenskan · 2026

Halmstads BK vs Malmö FF · Allsvenskan

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.71.65
Expected goals
0.942.25
Shots
12.415.1
Possession
41.7%56.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: malmö FF have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: malmö FF's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Malmö FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Malmö FF's last-five shots average is above their season average.

20.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots20.2 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Malmö FF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Malmö FF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHalmstads BK · Malmö FF15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHalmstads BKMalmö FFBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against17.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Malmö FF have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.7%PossessionHalmstads BK · Malmö FF● 56.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricHalmstads BKMalmö FFBaseline
Possession41.7%56.7%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Halmstads BK favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Malmö FF in 13

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Halmstads BK23 matchesMalmö FF23 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.65 goals/match
1.91 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.43 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals10/11▲ 2.25 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 15.1 shots/match
3.87 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 5.13 shots/match
41.7%Possession23/23● 56.7%
4.26 corners/matchCorners23/23● 4.91 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls23/2314.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Halmstads BK
0Draws
5Malmö FF
Malmö FF — Halmstads BK · Allsvenskan5–2
Halmstads BK — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan0–4
Malmö FF — Halmstads BK · Allsvenskan3–0
Halmstads BK — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan0–1
Malmö FF — Halmstads BK · Allsvenskan5–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness16 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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