PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

Degerfors IF vs Västerås SK · Allsvenskan

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.871.48
Expected goals
0.981.65
Shots
1111.3
Possession
46.6%47.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: degerfors IF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Degerfors IF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Degerfors IF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.87 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.87 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.3 fouls/matchFoulsDegerfors IF · Västerås SK13.5 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricDegerfors IFVästerås SKBaseline
Fouls13.3 fouls/match13.5 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Degerfors IF favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Västerås SK in 6 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Degerfors IF23 matchesVästerås SK23 matches
0.87 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.48 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed23/231.57 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals13/10▲ 1.65 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots22/2311.3 shots/match
3.09 shots/matchShots on target22/23▲ 4 shots/match
46.6%Possession22/23● 47.2%
4.68 corners/match ●Corners22/234.26 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls22/2313.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Degerfors IF
0Draws
1Västerås SK
Västerås SK — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan2–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness19 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDegerfors IFVästerås SK
CompetitionAllsvenskan
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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