Allsvenskan · 2026Mon, 14 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

IK Sirius

WDWWD

vsPre-match analysis

Degerfors IF

DLLLW

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: degerfors IF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Degerfors IF's recent record differs from the season

weak

Degerfors IF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1 goal/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Degerfors IF show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Degerfors IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsIK Sirius · Degerfors IF10.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	IK Sirius	Degerfors IF	Baseline
Shots	15.6 shots/match	10.7 shots/match	13.9 shots/match
Shots against	13.1 shots/match	12.4 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

3IK Sirius

1Draws

1Degerfors IF

4 Apr 2026Degerfors IF — IK Sirius · Allsvenskan0–3

21 Sept 2025IK Sirius — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan1–3

3 May 2025Degerfors IF — IK Sirius · Allsvenskan1–1

1 Oct 2023IK Sirius — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan3–2

15 Jul 2023Degerfors IF — IK Sirius · Allsvenskan0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Season: IK Sirius favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Degerfors IF in 2

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

IK Sirius14 matchesDegerfors IF14 matches

2.71 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141 goal/match

1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.71 goals/match

2.57 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/110.88 xG/match

15.6 shots/match ▲Shots14/1410.7 shots/match

6.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/142.93 shots/match

47.6% ●Possession14/1446.1%

5.5 corners/match ●Corners14/144.43 corners/match

12.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1414.6 fouls/match

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

IK Sirius46.9

Degerfors IF15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

IK Sirius86.5

Degerfors IF9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

IK Sirius71.9

Degerfors IF54.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

IK Sirius84.4

Degerfors IF9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

IK Sirius65.6

Degerfors IF96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

IK Sirius71.9

Degerfors IF25.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

IK Sirius75.0

Degerfors IF35.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches

35 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/136.2 days

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 14 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4