PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

Malmö FF 4–1 Örgryte IS · Allsvenskan

4–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Malmö FF won 4–1.

Shots
257
Shots on target
121
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Malmö FF beat Örgryte IS 4–1. Recorded in this match (Malmö FF – Örgryte IS): shots 25–7, shots on target 12–1, possession 57%–43%, corners 5–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Malmö FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Malmö FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.76 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Malmö FF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Malmö FF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsMalmö FF · Örgryte IS10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMalmö FFÖrgryte ISBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match10.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match18.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Malmö FF have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.6% ●PossessionMalmö FF · Örgryte IS42.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMalmö FFÖrgryte ISBaseline
Possession56.6%42.8%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots7 shotsMalmö FF 25 shots, Örgryte IS 7 shots
  • Shots on target12 shots1 shotMalmö FF 12 shots, Örgryte IS 1 shot
  • Possession57%43%Malmö FF 57%, Örgryte IS 43%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersMalmö FF 5 corners, Örgryte IS 3 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls11 foulsMalmö FF 19 fouls, Örgryte IS 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards0 cardsMalmö FF 3 cards, Örgryte IS 0 cards
  • Passes521 passes404 passesMalmö FF 521 passes, Örgryte IS 404 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.7%82.4%Malmö FF 88.7%, Örgryte IS 82.4%
  • Shots inside box19 shots4 shotsMalmö FF 19 shots, Örgryte IS 4 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks1 blockMalmö FF 4 blocks, Örgryte IS 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves10 savesMalmö FF 0 saves, Örgryte IS 10 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides4 offsidesMalmö FF 0 offsides, Örgryte IS 4 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. Half-time
  2. 52′Adrian SkogmarYellow card · Malmö FF
  3. 58′Jovan MilosavljevićGoal · Malmö FF
  4. 71′Otto RosengrenGoal · Malmö FF
  5. 74′Anton HöögYellow card · Malmö FF
  6. 80′Stian GregersenYellow card · Malmö FF
  7. 82′Tobias SanaPenalty goal · Örgryte IS
  8. 90′Bleon KurtulusGoal · Malmö FF
  9. 90′Owen Parker-PriceGoal · Örgryte IS
  10. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 20′Malmö FF · 1 player changeJovan Milosavljević
  • 49′Örgryte IS · 1 player changeAnton Andreasson
  • 68′Malmö FF · 2 player changesNoah Åstrand John · Isaac Assibu
  • 77′Örgryte IS · 3 player changesMarlon Ebietomere · David Obou · Johan Hammar
  • 86′Malmö FF · 1 player changeViggo Jeppsson
  • 86′Örgryte IS · 1 player changeHampus Dahlqvist
  • 86′Malmö FF · 1 player changeBleon Kurtulus

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Malmö FF
  1. Robin OlsenG
  2. Stian GregersenD
  3. Jens Stryger LarsenD
  4. BusanelloD
  5. Malte PalssonD
  6. Otto RosengrenM
  7. Adrian SkogmarM
  8. Theodor LundberghM
  9. Daníel Tristan GuðjohnsenF
  10. Kenan BusuladžićF
  11. Anton HöögF
Örgryte IS
  1. Hampus GustafssonG
  2. Christoffer StyffeD
  3. Mikael DyrestamD
  4. Daniel PaulsonD
  5. Adam AnderssonD
  6. Sebastian LagerlundD
  7. Benjamin LaturnusM
  8. Owen Parker-PriceM
  9. William HofvanderF
  10. Tobias SanaF
  11. Viktor EkblomF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Malmö FF
1Draws
0Örgryte IS
Örgryte IS — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Malmö FF favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · Örgryte IS in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Malmö FF21 matchesÖrgryte IS21 matches
1.76 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211.14 goals/match
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/212.24 goals/match
2.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.35 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots21/2110.8 shots/match
5.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/213.76 shots/match
56.6% ●Possession21/2142.8%
4.76 corners/match ●Corners21/214 corners/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls21/2111 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMalmö FFÖrgryte IS
CompetitionAllsvenskan
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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