PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

Örgryte IS 1–2 IK Sirius · Allsvenskan

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

IK Sirius won 1–2.

Shots
125
Shots on target
13
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

IK Sirius beat Örgryte IS 2–1. Recorded in this match (Örgryte IS – IK Sirius): shots 12–5, shots on target 1–3, possession 55%–45%, corners 5–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

IK Sirius's recent record differs from the season

moderate

IK Sirius's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match2.36 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

IK Sirius show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

IK Sirius's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsÖrgryte IS · IK Sirius14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricÖrgryte ISIK SiriusBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against17.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots5 shotsÖrgryte IS 12 shots, IK Sirius 5 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsÖrgryte IS 1 shot, IK Sirius 3 shots
  • Possession55%45%Örgryte IS 55%, IK Sirius 45%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersÖrgryte IS 5 corners, IK Sirius 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsÖrgryte IS 13 fouls, IK Sirius 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsÖrgryte IS 0 cards, IK Sirius 2 cards
  • Passes539 passes439 passesÖrgryte IS 539 passes, IK Sirius 439 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.7%82.2%Örgryte IS 83.7%, IK Sirius 82.2%
  • Shots inside box7 shots3 shotsÖrgryte IS 7 shots, IK Sirius 3 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks1 blockÖrgryte IS 5 blocks, IK Sirius 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save0 savesÖrgryte IS 1 save, IK Sirius 0 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideÖrgryte IS 1 offside, IK Sirius 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 7′Henrik CastegrenGoal · IK Sirius
  2. Half-time
  3. 62′Victor SvenssonGoal · IK Sirius
  4. 65′Marcus LindbergYellow card · IK Sirius
  5. 85′Charlie NildenYellow card · IK Sirius
  6. 90′Sebastian LagerlundGoal · Örgryte IS
  7. Full time
Player changes · 7grouped by team and minute
  • 67′Örgryte IS · 1 player changeMichael Parker
  • 68′Örgryte IS · 1 player changeDavid Obou
  • 72′IK Sirius · 2 player changesNeo Jönsson · Charlie Nilden
  • 80′Örgryte IS · 2 player changesLiam Filip Andersson · Marlon Ebietomere
  • 83′IK Sirius · 1 player changeSimon Sandberg

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Örgryte IS
  1. Hampus GustafssonG
  2. Mikael DyrestamD
  3. Daniel PaulsonD
  4. Adam AnderssonD
  5. Johan HammarD
  6. Sebastian LagerlundD
  7. Benjamin LaturnusM
  8. Owen Parker-PriceM
  9. William HofvanderF
  10. Anton AndreassonF
  11. Tobias SanaF
IK Sirius
  1. David CelicG
  2. Mohamed SoumahD
  3. Tobias AnkerD
  4. Henrik CastegrenD
  5. Oscar KrusnellD
  6. Marcus LindbergM
  7. Melker HeierM
  8. Victor SvenssonM
  9. Jesper UnekenF
  10. Isak BjerkeboF
  11. Zalán VancsaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Örgryte IS
0Draws
1IK Sirius
IK Sirius — Örgryte IS · Allsvenskan2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Örgryte IS favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · IK Sirius in 12 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Örgryte IS22 matchesIK Sirius22 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 2.36 goals/match
2.23 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1.27 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals11/10▲ 2.66 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 14.8 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 5.77 shots/match
43.4%Possession22/22● 47.5%
4.05 corners/matchCorners22/22● 5.59 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsÖrgryte ISIK Sirius
CompetitionAllsvenskan
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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