PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

Degerfors IF 0–1 Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Hammarby IF won 0–1.

Shots
917
Shots on target
112
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hammarby IF beat Degerfors IF 1–0. Recorded in this match (Degerfors IF – Hammarby IF): shots 9–17, shots on target 1–12, possession 43%–57%, corners 1–6. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Degerfors IF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Degerfors IF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Hammarby IF show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Hammarby IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsDegerfors IF · Hammarby IF21.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDegerfors IFHammarby IFBaseline
Shots11 shots/match21.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match9.41 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Hammarby IF have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.6%PossessionDegerfors IF · Hammarby IF● 61.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDegerfors IFHammarby IFBaseline
Possession46.6%61.1%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots17 shotsDegerfors IF 9 shots, Hammarby IF 17 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot12 shotsDegerfors IF 1 shot, Hammarby IF 12 shots
  • Possession43%57%Degerfors IF 43%, Hammarby IF 57%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersDegerfors IF 1 corner, Hammarby IF 6 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls13 foulsDegerfors IF 18 fouls, Hammarby IF 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsDegerfors IF 2 cards, Hammarby IF 2 cards
  • Passes400 passes527 passesDegerfors IF 400 passes, Hammarby IF 527 passes
  • Pass accuracy76.5%85.8%Degerfors IF 76.5%, Hammarby IF 85.8%
  • Shots inside box7 shots6 shotsDegerfors IF 7 shots, Hammarby IF 6 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks2 blocksDegerfors IF 4 blocks, Hammarby IF 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves11 saves1 saveDegerfors IF 11 saves, Hammarby IF 1 save
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideDegerfors IF 3 offsides, Hammarby IF 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 31′Noah PerssonYellow card · Hammarby IF
  2. Half-time
  3. 46′Paulos AbrahamGoal · Hammarby IF
  4. 62′Karim BouteraYellow card · Degerfors IF
  5. 90′Victor LindYellow card · Hammarby IF
  6. 90′Nahom GirmaiYellow card · Degerfors IF
  7. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 59′Degerfors IF · 1 player changeSamba Diatara
  • 63′Hammarby IF · 1 player changeAmin Boudri
  • 67′Degerfors IF · 2 player changesArman Taranis · Elias Barsoum
  • 82′Hammarby IF · 3 player changesTesfaldet Tekie · Waylon Renecke · Oliver Jordan Hagen
  • 84′Degerfors IF · 1 player changeRobin Dzabic
  • 87′Hammarby IF · 1 player changeVictor Eriksson

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Degerfors IF
  1. Matvei IgonenG
  2. Ahmad FaqaD
  3. Nikolai SkusethD
  4. Daniel SundgrenD
  5. Sebastian OhlssonD
  6. Bilal HusseinM
  7. Karim BouteraM
  8. Yiriyon GideonM
  9. Noel MilleskogF
  10. Dijan VukojevicF
  11. Nahom GirmaiF
Hammarby IF
  1. Warner HahnG
  2. Hampus SkoglundD
  3. Frederik WintherD
  4. Ibrahima FofanaD
  5. Noah PerssonD
  6. Markus KarlssonM
  7. Victor LindM
  8. Montader MadjedM
  9. Frank Junior AdjeiM
  10. Oscar Steinke BrånbyM
  11. Paulos AbrahamF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Degerfors IF
2Draws
3Hammarby IF
Hammarby IF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan4–0
Degerfors IF — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan1–1
Hammarby IF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan1–0
Degerfors IF — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan2–2
Hammarby IF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Degerfors IF favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Hammarby IF in 13

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Degerfors IF22 matchesHammarby IF22 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 2.23 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 0.91 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals13/11▲ 2.69 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 21.2 shots/match
3.09 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 8.05 shots/match
46.6%Possession22/22● 61.1%
4.68 corners/matchCorners22/22● 6.59 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDegerfors IFHammarby IF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headDegerfors IF — Hammarby IF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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