Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 14:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Hammarby IF

LWWWW

vsPre-match analysis

GAIS

WDWLW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hammarby IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Hammarby IF have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Hammarby IF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Hammarby IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20 shots/match▲ShotsHammarby IF · GAIS15 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Hammarby IF	GAIS	Baseline
Shots	20 shots/match	15 shots/match	13.9 shots/match
Shots against	10.5 shots/match	12.1 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Hammarby IF have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.3%▲PossessionHammarby IF · GAIS50.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.9 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Hammarby IF	GAIS	Baseline
Possession	60.3%	50.4%	48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Hammarby IF

0Draws

1GAIS

20 May 2026Gais — Hammarby FF · Allsvenskan2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Hammarby IF favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · GAIS in 1 · 4 too close

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 15/151.33 goals/match

0.93 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/150.93 goals/match

2.6 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 9/71.77 xG/match

1.08 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 9/71.43 xG/match

20 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/1515 shots/match

10.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 15/1512.1 shots/match

7.33 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/155.07 shots/match

3.27 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/153.73 shots/match

60.3%Possessionseason · 15/1550.4%

6 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/155.27 corners/match

2.73 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/154.4 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/2—

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1514.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

40%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/15▲47%

87%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hammarby IF96.9

GAIS59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hammarby IF94.8

GAIS55.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hammarby IF95.9

GAIS89.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hammarby IF90.6

GAIS78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hammarby IF15.6

GAIS90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 53%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hammarby IF81.2

GAIS59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hammarby IF72.7

GAIS70.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match

2.62 xG/match▲Expected goals4/42.01 xG/match

18 shots/matchShots5/517.2 shots/match

8.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55.4 shots/match

59.4%Possession5/551.2%

7.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.6 goals/match

0.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.6 goals/match

2.6 xG/match▲Expected goals7/61.93 xG/match

20 shots/match▲Shots10/1015.9 shots/match

7.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/105.1 shots/match

58%Possession10/1048.8%

6.9 corners/matchCorners10/105.9 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 15 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.33 goals/match

0.93 goals/matchGoals allowed15/150.93 goals/match

2.6 xG/match▲Expected goals9/71.77 xG/match

20 shots/match▲Shots15/1515 shots/match

7.33 shots/match▲Shots on target15/155.07 shots/match

60.3%Possession15/1550.4%

6 corners/matchCorners15/155.27 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls15/1514.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 8 matches

3.22 goals/match▲Goals scored9/81.13 goals/match

0.56 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/81.5 goals/match

3.02 xG/match▲Expected goals6/31.97 xG/match

22.6 shots/match▲Shots9/813.6 shots/match

8.67 shots/match▲Shots on target9/84.75 shots/match

60%Possession9/854.5%

6.89 corners/matchCorners9/85 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

12 fouls/matchFouls9/816.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples15 / 15home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4