PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

AIK 3–2 Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan

AIK

WDLWW
3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

AIK won 3–2.

Shots
1131
Shots on target
611
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

AIK beat Hammarby IF 3–2. Recorded in this match (AIK – Hammarby IF): shots 11–31, shots on target 6–11, possession 43%–57%, corners 1–7. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hammarby IF show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Hammarby IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsAIK · Hammarby IF21.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAIKHammarby IFBaseline
Shots13 shots/match21.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match9.89 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

AIK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AIK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.56 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AIK have a visible home split

moderate

AIK's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots31 shotsAIK 11 shots, Hammarby IF 31 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots11 shotsAIK 6 shots, Hammarby IF 11 shots
  • Possession43%57%AIK 43%, Hammarby IF 57%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersAIK 1 corner, Hammarby IF 7 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls11 foulsAIK 16 fouls, Hammarby IF 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards1 cardAIK 4 cards, Hammarby IF 1 card
  • Passes390 passes510 passesAIK 390 passes, Hammarby IF 510 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.6%89%AIK 83.6%, Hammarby IF 89%
  • Shots inside box10 shots23 shotsAIK 10 shots, Hammarby IF 23 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block9 blocksAIK 1 block, Hammarby IF 9 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves10 saves3 savesAIK 10 saves, Hammarby IF 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesAIK 1 offside, Hammarby IF 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 11′Wilmer OlofssonYellow card · AIK
  2. 14′Frank Junior AdjeiGoal · Hammarby IF
  3. 15′Linus CarlstrandGoal · AIK
  4. 26′Paulos AbrahamPenalty missed · Hammarby IF
  5. 33′Abdihakin AliYellow card · AIK
  6. 45′Paulos AbrahamGoal · Hammarby IF
  7. Half-time
  8. 48′Yannick GeigerYellow card · AIK
  9. 52′Ladji CamaraYellow card · AIK
  10. 59′Victor ErikssonYellow card · Hammarby IF
  11. 72′Axel KouameGoal · AIK
  12. 83′Sixten GustafssonGoal · AIK
  13. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 28′Hammarby IF · 1 player changeTesfaldet Tekie
  • 41′AIK · 1 player changeLadji Camara
  • 56′AIK · 1 player changeAxel Kouame
  • 65′Hammarby IF · 2 player changesIbrahima Fofana · Oscar Johansson Schellhas
  • 80′AIK · 3 player changesOskar Pukelis · Linus Järeteg · Sixten Gustafsson
  • 85′Hammarby IF · 1 player changeNahir Besara
  • 86′Hammarby IF · 1 player changeSuwaibou Kebbeh

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2AIK
1Draws
2Hammarby IF
Hammarby IF — AIK · Allsvenskan1–2
Hammarby IF — AIK · Allsvenskan2–1
AIK — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan0–0
AIK — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan1–0
Hammarby IF — AIK · Allsvenskan2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AIK favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Hammarby IF in 13

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AIK18 matchesHammarby IF19 matches
1.56 goals/matchGoals scored18/19▲ 2.32 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed18/19▲ 0.95 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals10/11▲ 2.69 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots18/19▲ 21.5 shots/match
4.61 shots/matchShots on target18/19▲ 7.74 shots/match
51.8%Possession18/19● 60.9%
5.11 corners/matchCorners18/19● 6.58 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls18/1911.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples18 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAIKHammarby IF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headAIK — Hammarby IF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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