PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: IFK Göteborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

IFK Göteborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

IFK Göteborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0IFK Göteborg
0Draws
1IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg — IFK Goteborg · Allsvenskan2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

IFK Göteborg favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · IF Elfsborg in 4 · 6 too close

1.36 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/151.27 goals/match
2.21 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/15▲1.13 goals/match
1.88 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/71.84 xG/match
1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 9/71.69 xG/match
17 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/1512.3 shots/match
13.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/1513.2 shots/match
5.14 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/154 shots/match
4.86 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/15▲4.47 shots/match
50.2%Possessionseason · 14/1546.5%
6.14 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/153.93 corners/match
5.07 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/155.2 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 1/0—
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1510.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/15▲27%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/15▲93%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

IFK Göteborg53.1
IF Elfsborg21.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

IFK Göteborg68.8
IF Elfsborg30.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

IFK Göteborg42.7
IF Elfsborg69.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

IFK Göteborg96.9
IF Elfsborg46.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

IFK Göteborg53.1
IF Elfsborg9.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

IFK Göteborg90.6
IF Elfsborg9.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

IFK Göteborg76.5
IF Elfsborg21.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match
2.53 xG/match▲Expected goals4/42.29 xG/match
19 shots/match▲Shots5/516.4 shots/match
5.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.8 shots/match
46%Possession5/550.8%
8 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match
2.06 xG/matchExpected goals7/4▲2.29 xG/match
17.5 shots/match▲Shots10/1014.1 shots/match
5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.4 shots/match
45.7%Possession10/1049.7%
6.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/109.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 15 matches
1.36 goals/match▲Goals scored14/151.27 goals/match
2.21 goals/matchGoals allowed14/15▲1.13 goals/match
1.88 xG/matchExpected goals9/71.84 xG/match
17 shots/match▲Shots14/1512.3 shots/match
5.14 shots/match▲Shots on target14/154 shots/match
50.2%Possession14/1546.5%
6.14 corners/matchCorners14/153.93 corners/match
—Cards1/0—
11.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1510.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
1.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.14 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1.14 goals/match
2.25 xG/match▲Expected goals5/41.92 xG/match
18.3 shots/match▲Shots7/711.7 shots/match
5.71 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.71 shots/match
50.1%Possession7/752.1%
7.43 corners/matchCorners7/74 corners/match
—Cards1/0—
12.3 fouls/matchFouls7/710.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsIFK GöteborgIF Elfsborg
CompetitionAllsvenskan
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match