Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Västerås SK

LWWDW

vsPre-match analysis

Kalmar FF

LWLDL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Västerås SK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Västerås SK's recent record differs from the season

weak

Västerås SK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.64 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Västerås SK

0Draws

0Kalmar FF

5 Apr 2026Kalmar FF — Vasteras SK FK · Allsvenskan0–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Västerås SK favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Kalmar FF in 5 · 4 too close

1.64 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/141.29 goals/match

1.64 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/141.57 goals/match

1.49 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/71.4 xG/match

1.91 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/7▲1.37 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/14▲13.8 shots/match

14.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/14▲13.5 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/14▲4.43 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/145 shots/match

46.9%Possessionseason · 14/1447.2%

4.64 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/145 corners/match

6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/14▲5.57 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1411.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1414%

79%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1464%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Västerås SK28.1

Kalmar FF34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Västerås SK28.1

Kalmar FF37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Västerås SK46.9

Kalmar FF45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Västerås SK3.1

Kalmar FF65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Västerås SK75

Kalmar FF21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Västerås SK34.4

Kalmar FF53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Västerås SK32

Kalmar FF39.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

—Expected goals2/41.14 xG/match

12 shots/match▲Shots5/510.8 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.4 shots/match

47%Possession5/545.4%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/52.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.5 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match

1.81 xG/match▲Expected goals5/71.4 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.8 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.4 shots/match

47.3%Possession10/1047.7%

3.9 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches

1.64 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141.29 goals/match

1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.57 goals/match

1.49 xG/match▲Expected goals8/71.4 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShots14/14▲13.8 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲4.43 shots/match

46.9%Possession14/1447.2%

4.64 corners/matchCorners14/145 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

13 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

1.86 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match

1.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/72.29 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goals4/5▲1.44 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots7/7▲14.1 shots/match

3.57 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲3.86 shots/match

48.6%Possession7/745.4%

4.57 corners/matchCorners7/73.29 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/712.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC · analysis-v4