Allsvenskan · 2026Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Mjällby AIF

DDLDL

vsPre-match analysis

IK Sirius

WDWWD

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Mjällby AIF's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: IK Sirius's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Mjällby AIF's recent record differs from the season

weak

Mjällby AIF's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	17.6 shots/match	14.2 shots/match	13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

IK Sirius show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

IK Sirius's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match▲ShotsMjällby AIF · IK Sirius15.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Mjällby AIF	IK Sirius	Baseline
Shots	14.2 shots/match	15.6 shots/match	13.9 shots/match
Shots against	15.9 shots/match	13.1 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Mjällby AIF

1Draws

0IK Sirius

3 Jul 2026Sirius — Mjallby AIF · Allsvenskan4–4

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Mjällby AIF favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · IK Sirius in 8 · 5 too close

1.36 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/14▲2.71 goals/match

1.29 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/141.29 goals/match

1.89 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/8▲2.57 xG/match

2.29 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/8▲0.9 xG/match

14.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/14▲15.6 shots/match

15.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/14▲13.1 shots/match

5.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/14▲6.29 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/14▲3.79 shots/match

54.4%Possessionseason · 14/1447.6%

4.93 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/145.5 corners/match

4.14 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/145.07 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1412.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1429%

57%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/14▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Mjällby AIF78.1

IK Sirius46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Mjällby AIF60.4

IK Sirius86.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Mjällby AIF42.7

IK Sirius71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Mjällby AIF40.6

IK Sirius84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Mjällby AIF59.4

IK Sirius65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Mjällby AIF46.9

IK Sirius71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Mjällby AIF60.9

IK Sirius75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.8 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

2.58 xG/matchExpected goals3/42.57 xG/match

17.6 shots/match▲Shots5/516.4 shots/match

5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.6 shots/match

55%Possession5/546.8%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.6 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match

2.15 xG/matchExpected goals5/6▲2.42 xG/match

14 shots/matchShots10/10▲16.9 shots/match

5.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲7.1 shots/match

54.1%Possession10/1048.9%

4.7 corners/matchCorners10/106.3 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

12 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches

1.36 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲2.71 goals/match

1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.29 goals/match

1.89 xG/matchExpected goals7/8▲2.57 xG/match

14.2 shots/matchShots14/14▲15.6 shots/match

5.5 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲6.29 shots/match

54.4%Possession14/1447.6%

4.93 corners/matchCorners14/145.5 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

12 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲2.71 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.14 goals/match

2.06 xG/matchExpected goals5/3▲2.19 xG/match

15.3 shots/match▲Shots7/714.1 shots/match

5.43 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲6.14 shots/match

55.3%Possession7/747%

6.86 corners/matchCorners7/75 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls7/714.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.83 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness7 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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What the record shows

Mjällby AIF's recent record differs from the season

IK Sirius show a distinct attacking-volume record

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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