Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

IF Brommapojkarna

DDLLD

vsPre-match analysis

Örgryte IS

DLWDL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Örgryte IS's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Örgryte IS's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Örgryte IS's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.21 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1IF Brommapojkarna

0Draws

0Örgryte IS

22 Apr 2026Orgryte IS — IF Brommapojkarna · Allsvenskan1–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

IF Brommapojkarna favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Örgryte IS in 2 · 7 too close

1.43 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/141.21 goals/match

1.64 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/142.5 goals/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 11/9▲1.29 xG/match

1.7 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 11/91.93 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/1410.6 shots/match

16.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/1417.4 shots/match

3.93 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/143.79 shots/match

5.29 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/146.21 shots/match

47.3%Possessionseason · 14/1443.6%

4.43 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/144.07 corners/match

5.64 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/145.86 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/0—

9.86 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1411.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

7%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/14▲14%

86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1464%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

IF Brommapojkarna40.6

Örgryte IS9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

IF Brommapojkarna34.4

Örgryte IS15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

IF Brommapojkarna29.2

Örgryte IS3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

IF Brommapojkarna15.6

Örgryte IS21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

IF Brommapojkarna3.1

Örgryte IS43.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

IF Brommapojkarna25

Örgryte IS15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

IF Brommapojkarna19.5

Örgryte IS22.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goals4/3▲1.55 xG/match

11 shots/match▲Shots5/510.2 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match

51.4%Possession5/540.6%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.4 goals/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goals7/6▲1.27 xG/match

11.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.1 shots/match

4.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match

48.6%Possession10/1044.2%

5.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

9 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches

1.43 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141.21 goals/match

1.64 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/142.5 goals/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goals11/9▲1.29 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShots14/1410.6 shots/match

3.93 shots/matchShots on target14/143.79 shots/match

47.3%Possession14/1443.6%

4.43 corners/matchCorners14/144.07 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

9.86 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 6 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/60.5 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/63.17 goals/match

1.15 xG/match▲Expected goals4/30.99 xG/match

11 shots/match▲Shots5/69.67 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/63.5 shots/match

48.8%Possession5/642.7%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/64 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

7.2 fouls/matchFouls5/613.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness8 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC · analysis-v4