PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

Djurgårdens IF 1–3 AIK · Allsvenskan

1–3Full-time analysis

AIK

WWDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

AIK won 1–3.

Shots
1611
Shots on target
34
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

AIK beat Djurgårdens IF 3–1. Recorded in this match (Djurgårdens IF – AIK): shots 16–11, shots on target 3–4, possession 63%–37%, corners 5–1. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Djurgårdens IF's recent record differs from the season

weak

Djurgårdens IF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2.13 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AIK have a visible away split

moderate

AIK's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Djurgårdens IF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Djurgårdens IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsDjurgårdens IF · AIK13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDjurgårdens IFAIKBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots11 shotsDjurgårdens IF 16 shots, AIK 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsDjurgårdens IF 3 shots, AIK 4 shots
  • Possession63%37%Djurgårdens IF 63%, AIK 37%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerDjurgårdens IF 5 corners, AIK 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls17 foulsDjurgårdens IF 15 fouls, AIK 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card5 cardsDjurgårdens IF 1 card, AIK 5 cards
  • Passes532 passes328 passesDjurgårdens IF 532 passes, AIK 328 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.3%75.6%Djurgårdens IF 86.3%, AIK 75.6%
  • Shots inside box10 shots9 shotsDjurgårdens IF 10 shots, AIK 9 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksDjurgårdens IF 2 blocks, AIK 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save2 savesDjurgårdens IF 1 save, AIK 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesDjurgårdens IF 1 offside, AIK 2 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bo Åsulv Hegland · Djurgårdens IF · 14′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedBo Åsulv Hegland · Djurgårdens IF · 24′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedOskar Fallenius · Djurgårdens IF · 44′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Okkels · Djurgårdens IF · 60′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedBo Åsulv Hegland · Djurgårdens IF · 64′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Okkels · Djurgårdens IF · 69′ · 0.00 xG · on targetSixten Gustafsson · AIK · 70′ · 0.00 xG · on targetLinus Carlstrand · AIK · 80′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedNino Žugelj · Djurgårdens IF · 89′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMax Larsson · Djurgårdens IF · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSander Finjord Ringberg · Djurgårdens IF · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedHampus Finndell · Djurgårdens IF · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKevin Filling · AIK · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLinus Carlstrand · AIK · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBo Åsulv Hegland · Djurgårdens IF · 70′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNino Žugelj · Djurgårdens IF · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVictor Andersson · AIK · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLinus Carlstrand · AIK · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Helm · AIK · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOskar Fallenius · Djurgårdens IF · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOskar Fallenius · Djurgårdens IF · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOskar Fallenius · Djurgårdens IF · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKevin Filling · AIK · 46′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLinus Carlstrand · AIK · 10′ · 0.10 xG · goalBo Åsulv Hegland · Djurgårdens IF · 50′ · 0.10 xG · goalJohan Hove · AIK · 39′ · 0.14 xG · goalLinus Carlstrand · AIK · 25′ · 0.18 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Djurgårdens IF: 16 shots, 3 on target, 0.23 xG. AIK: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Bo Åsulv Hegland · Djurgårdens IF · 50′Linus Carlstrand · AIK · 10′Linus Carlstrand · AIK · 25′Johan Hove · AIK · 39′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Djurgårdens IF 0.23 xG · AIK 0.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Djurgårdens IF
2Draws
2AIK
AIK — Djurgårdens IF · Allsvenskan2–4
AIK — Djurgårdens IF · Allsvenskan0–0
Djurgårdens IF — AIK · Allsvenskan1–1
Djurgårdens IF — AIK · Allsvenskan0–2
AIK — Djurgårdens IF · Allsvenskan2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Djurgårdens IF favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · AIK in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Djurgårdens IF16 matchesAIK17 matches
2.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/171.47 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/171.47 goals/match
2.37 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/101.14 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots16/1713.1 shots/match
6.56 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/174.53 shots/match
57% ●Possession16/1752.3%
7.06 corners/match ●Corners16/175.35 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1711.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDjurgårdens IFAIK
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headDjurgårdens IF — AIK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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