Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Djurgårdens IF

LWWDL

vsPre-match analysis

AIK

LWWWW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AIK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

AIK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AIK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.57 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.46 corners/match▲CornersDjurgårdens IF · AIK6 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Djurgårdens IF	AIK	Baseline
Corners	7.46 corners/match	6 corners/match	4.96 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

AIK have a visible away split

moderate

AIK's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.5 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Djurgårdens IF

0Draws

0AIK

10 May 2026AIK Stockholm — Djurgardens IF · Allsvenskan2–4

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Djurgårdens IF favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · AIK in 1 · 3 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/141.57 goals/match

1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/141.5 goals/match

2.15 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/81.23 xG/match

0.95 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/82.22 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 13/1413.8 shots/match

10.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1414.6 shots/match

6.46 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/145.07 shots/match

4.08 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/144.5 shots/match

58.4%Possessionseason · 13/1452.8%

7.46 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/146 corners/match

4.46 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/145.14 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1411.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

31%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1414%

77%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/14▲86%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Djurgårdens IF90.6

AIK71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Djurgårdens IF85.4

AIK56.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Djurgårdens IF82.3

AIK50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Djurgårdens IF59.4

AIK34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Djurgårdens IF28.1

AIK43.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Djurgårdens IF96.9

AIK81.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Djurgårdens IF75

AIK58.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

2.08 xG/match▲Expected goals3/41.49 xG/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shots5/514 shots/match

7.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.4 shots/match

60.4%Possession5/552.2%

8.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.6 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match

2.15 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.33 xG/match

15.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1013.6 shots/match

6.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/105.1 shots/match

57.7%Possession10/1052.6%

7.2 corners/matchCorners10/106.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1012 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 14 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored13/141.57 goals/match

1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/141.5 goals/match

2.15 xG/match▲Expected goals6/81.23 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots13/1413.8 shots/match

6.46 shots/match▲Shots on target13/145.07 shots/match

58.4%Possession13/1452.8%

7.46 corners/matchCorners13/146 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls13/1411.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 8 matches

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/81.88 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/81.5 goals/match

2.04 xG/match▲Expected goals3/61.1 xG/match

16.7 shots/match▲Shots7/811.5 shots/match

6.29 shots/match▲Shots on target7/84.63 shots/match

59.3%Possession7/851.5%

6.14 corners/matchCorners7/85.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFouls7/812.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness8 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC · analysis-v4