Allsvenskan · 2026

Örgryte IS 3–4 AIK · Allsvenskan

3–4Full-time analysis

AIK

WWWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

AIK won 3–4.

Shots
818
Shots on target
39
Expected goals
2.391.96
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

AIK beat Örgryte IS 4–3. Recorded in this match (Örgryte IS – AIK): shots 8–18, shots on target 3–9, expected goals 2.39–1.96, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Örgryte IS's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Örgryte IS's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AIK have a visible away split

moderate

AIK's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

AIK show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

AIK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsÖrgryte IS · AIK13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricÖrgryte ISAIKBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against17.1 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots18 shotsÖrgryte IS 8 shots, AIK 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots9 shotsÖrgryte IS 3 shots, AIK 9 shots
  • Expected goals2.39 xG1.96 xGÖrgryte IS 2.39 xG, AIK 1.96 xG
  • Possession38%62%Örgryte IS 38%, AIK 62%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersÖrgryte IS 3 corners, AIK 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsÖrgryte IS 9 fouls, AIK 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsÖrgryte IS 0 cards, AIK 2 cards
  • Passes344 passes548 passesÖrgryte IS 344 passes, AIK 548 passes
  • Pass accuracy78.2%87.8%Örgryte IS 78.2%, AIK 87.8%
  • Shots inside box8 shots10 shotsÖrgryte IS 8 shots, AIK 10 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks4 blocksÖrgryte IS 2 blocks, AIK 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves0 savesÖrgryte IS 4 saves, AIK 0 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesÖrgryte IS 1 offside, AIK 0 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

William Hofvander · Örgryte IS · 16′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMads Døhr Thychosen · AIK · 25′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAbdihakin Ali · AIK · 28′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedVictor Andersson · AIK · 36′ · 0.00 xG · on targetAmel Mujanić · AIK · 41′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAbdihakin Ali · AIK · 53′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedYannick Geiger · AIK · 73′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedLinus Carlstrand · AIK · 5′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNoah Christoffersson · Örgryte IS · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Helm · AIK · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTobias Sana · Örgryte IS · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMikael Dyrestam · Örgryte IS · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLinus Carlstrand · AIK · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAmel Mujanić · AIK · 67′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAbdihakin Ali · AIK · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNoah Christoffersson · Örgryte IS · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNoah Christoffersson · Örgryte IS · 13′ · 0.10 xG · goalLinus Carlstrand · AIK · 30′ · 0.10 xG · goalAnton Andreasson · Örgryte IS · 32′ · 0.10 xG · goalSixten Gustafsson · AIK · 74′ · 0.10 xG · goalYannick Geiger · AIK · 87′ · 0.10 xG · goalJerome Tibbling Ugwo · Örgryte IS · 90′ · 0.10 xG · goalVictor Andersson · AIK · 22′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedVictor Andersson · AIK · 58′ · 0.12 xG · on targetSixten Gustafsson · AIK · 81′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLinus Carlstrand · AIK · 84′ · 0.20 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Örgryte IS: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.42 xG. AIK: 18 shots, 8 on target, 1.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Noah Christoffersson · Örgryte IS · 13′Anton Andreasson · Örgryte IS · 32′Jerome Tibbling Ugwo · Örgryte IS · 90′Linus Carlstrand · AIK · 30′Sixten Gustafsson · AIK · 74′Linus Carlstrand · AIK · 84′Yannick Geiger · AIK · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Örgryte IS 0.42 xG · AIK 1.01 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Örgryte IS
0Draws
0AIK
AIK — Örgryte IS · Allsvenskan0–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Örgryte IS favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · AIK in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Örgryte IS16 matchesAIK16 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.38 goals/match
2.31 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/101.14 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 13.3 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 4.56 shots/match
42.9%Possession16/16● 53.3%
4 corners/matchCorners16/16● 5.63 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

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