PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

Hammarby IF 3–0 BK Häcken · Allsvenskan

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Hammarby IF won 3–0.

Shots
152
Shots on target
90
Expected goals
3.170.38
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hammarby IF beat BK Häcken 3–0. Recorded in this match (Hammarby IF – BK Häcken): shots 15–2, shots on target 9–0, expected goals 3.17–0.38, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

BK Häcken's recent record differs from the season

moderate

BK Häcken's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.75 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Hammarby IF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Hammarby IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHammarby IF · BK Häcken13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHammarby IFBK HäckenBaseline
Shots20.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Hammarby IF have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.6% ●PossessionHammarby IF · BK Häcken51.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricHammarby IFBK HäckenBaseline
Possession60.6%51.3%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots2 shotsHammarby IF 15 shots, BK Häcken 2 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots0 shotsHammarby IF 9 shots, BK Häcken 0 shots
  • Expected goals3.17 xG0.38 xGHammarby IF 3.17 xG, BK Häcken 0.38 xG
  • Possession64%36%Hammarby IF 64%, BK Häcken 36%
  • Corners12 corners2 cornersHammarby IF 12 corners, BK Häcken 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls17 foulsHammarby IF 13 fouls, BK Häcken 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardHammarby IF 1 card, BK Häcken 1 card
  • Passes625 passes349 passesHammarby IF 625 passes, BK Häcken 349 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.3%80.5%Hammarby IF 88.3%, BK Häcken 80.5%
  • Shots inside box12 shots1 shotHammarby IF 12 shots, BK Häcken 1 shot
  • Blocked shots4 blocks2 blocksHammarby IF 4 blocks, BK Häcken 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves6 savesHammarby IF 0 saves, BK Häcken 6 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsidesHammarby IF 2 offsides, BK Häcken 3 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Montader Madjed · Hammarby IF · 26′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedFrank Junior Adjei · Hammarby IF · 45′ · 0.00 xG · on targetFrank Junior Adjei · Hammarby IF · 49′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedFrank Junior Adjei · Hammarby IF · 85′ · 0.00 xG · on targetAmin Boudri · Hammarby IF · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSanders Ngabo · BK Häcken · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPaulos Abraham · Hammarby IF · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWaylon Renecke · Hammarby IF · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPaulos Abraham · Hammarby IF · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOscar Johansson Schellhas · Hammarby IF · 67′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIbrahima Fofana · Hammarby IF · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmin Boudri · Hammarby IF · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmin Boudri · Hammarby IF · 49′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPaulos Abraham · Hammarby IF · 55′ · 0.07 xG · on targetWaylon Renecke · Hammarby IF · 29′ · 0.10 xG · goalVictor Lind · Hammarby IF · 38′ · 0.10 xG · goalPaulos Abraham · Hammarby IF · 56′ · 0.18 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hammarby IF: 16 shots, 9 on target, 0.71 xG. BK Häcken: 1 shots, 0 on target, 0.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Waylon Renecke · Hammarby IF · 29′Victor Lind · Hammarby IF · 38′Paulos Abraham · Hammarby IF · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hammarby IF 0.71 xG · BK Häcken 0.01 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Hammarby IF
1Draws
2BK Häcken
BK Häcken — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan3–2
Hammarby IF — BK Häcken · Allsvenskan4–0
BK Häcken — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan1–1
Hammarby IF — BK Häcken · Allsvenskan2–0
BK Häcken — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hammarby IF favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · BK Häcken in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hammarby IF16 matchesBK Häcken16 matches
2.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.75 goals/match
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.63 goals/match
2.58 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/111.67 xG/match
20.3 shots/match ▲Shots16/1613.9 shots/match
7.19 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/164.5 shots/match
60.6% ●Possession16/1651.3%
6.31 corners/match ●Corners16/165.31 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHammarby IFBK Häcken
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headHammarby IF — BK Häcken
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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