PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026Bravida Arena

BK Häcken 1–1 Kalmar FF · Allsvenskan

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

BK Häcken and Kalmar FF drew 1–1.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.921.62
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

BK Häcken and Kalmar FF drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (BK Häcken – Kalmar FF): shots 10–12, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.92–1.62, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kalmar FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Kalmar FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsBK Häcken 10 shots, Kalmar FF 12 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsBK Häcken 1 shot, Kalmar FF 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.92 xG1.62 xGBK Häcken 0.92 xG, Kalmar FF 1.62 xG
  • Possession52%48%BK Häcken 52%, Kalmar FF 48%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersBK Häcken 5 corners, Kalmar FF 6 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsBK Häcken 17 fouls, Kalmar FF 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards0 cardsBK Häcken 3 cards, Kalmar FF 0 cards
  • Passes471 passes436 passesBK Häcken 471 passes, Kalmar FF 436 passes
  • Pass accuracy82.6%83.3%BK Häcken 82.6%, Kalmar FF 83.3%
  • Shots inside box7 shots8 shotsBK Häcken 7 shots, Kalmar FF 8 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks1 blockBK Häcken 3 blocks, Kalmar FF 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves0 savesBK Häcken 5 saves, Kalmar FF 0 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesBK Häcken 0 offsides, Kalmar FF 2 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marius Söderbäck · Kalmar FF · 11′ · 0.00 xG · on targetCarl Gustafsson · Kalmar FF · 62′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAboubacar Keita · Kalmar FF · 63′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedRobert Gojani · Kalmar FF · 65′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedPontus Dahbo · BK Häcken · 69′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMarius Söderbäck · Kalmar FF · 72′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Doumbia · BK Häcken · 75′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMikkel Rygaard · BK Häcken · 82′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Svanback · BK Häcken · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Rosenqvist · Kalmar FF · 16′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAdrian Svanback · BK Häcken · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Svanback · BK Häcken · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCharles Sagoe Jr. · Kalmar FF · 50′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAdrian Svanback · BK Häcken · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Rosenqvist · Kalmar FF · 78′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPontus Dahbo · BK Häcken · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSivert Engh Overby · Kalmar FF · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikkel Rygaard · BK Häcken · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAboubacar Keita · Kalmar FF · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHarry Hilvenius · BK Häcken · 24′ · 0.10 xG · goalAboubacar Keita · Kalmar FF · 12′ · 0.14 xG · goalAboubacar Keita · Kalmar FF · 4′ · 0.29 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

BK Häcken: 10 shots, 1 on target, 0.18 xG. Kalmar FF: 12 shots, 6 on target, 0.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Harry Hilvenius · BK Häcken · 24′Aboubacar Keita · Kalmar FF · 12′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: BK Häcken 0.18 xG · Kalmar FF 0.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1BK Häcken
1Draws
3Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF — BK Häcken · Allsvenskan1–0
BK Häcken — Kalmar FF · Allsvenskan3–1
Kalmar FF — BK Häcken · Allsvenskan1–0
BK Häcken — Kalmar FF · Allsvenskan1–3
Kalmar FF — BK Häcken · Allsvenskan1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: BK Häcken favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Kalmar FF in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

BK Häcken15 matchesKalmar FF15 matches
1.87 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151.27 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.8 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/81.39 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots15/1513.5 shots/match
4.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/154.53 shots/match
52.3% ●Possession15/1547.1%
5.53 corners/match ●Corners15/155.2 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBK HäckenKalmar FF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headBK Häcken — Kalmar FF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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