Allsvenskan · 2026Sat, 1 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTCScheduledNordic Wellness ArenaPre-match analysis

BK Hacken

DWLLW

vsPre-match analysis

Kalmar FF

WLWLD

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Kalmar FF's last-five shots average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Kalmar FF's recent record differs from the season

weak

Kalmar FF's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.8 shots/match	14.2 shots/match	14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

BK Hacken favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Kalmar FF in 4 · 5 too close

2.08 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/131.23 goals/match

1.69 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.46 goals/match

1.76 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/61.47 xG/match

1.28 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/6▲1.15 xG/match

14.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1314.2 shots/match

13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/1313 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/134.54 shots/match

5.54 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/13▲4.85 shots/match

52.2%Possessionseason · 13/1347.2%

5.62 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/135.31 corners/match

5.62 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/13▲5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 2/1—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1311.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

23%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1315%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1362%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

BK Hacken71.9

Kalmar FF25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

BK Hacken71.9

Kalmar FF37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

BK Hacken41.7

Kalmar FF54.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

BK Hacken59.4

Kalmar FF78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

BK Hacken25

Kalmar FF25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

BK Hacken81.2

Kalmar FF62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

BK Hacken61.7

Kalmar FF43.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match

—Expected goals2/31.19 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shots5/511.8 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

56%Possession5/544.8%

6.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.8 fouls/matchFouls5/58.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match

1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match

1.77 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.47 xG/match

15.3 shots/match▲Shots10/1014 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target10/104.8 shots/match

54%Possession10/1047.3%

5.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches

2.08 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.23 goals/match

1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲1.46 goals/match

1.76 xG/match▲Expected goals8/61.47 xG/match

14.8 shots/matchShots13/1314.2 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target13/134.54 shots/match

52.2%Possession13/1347.2%

5.62 corners/matchCorners13/135.31 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.67 goals/match

2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/62.17 goals/match

—Expected goals2/41.55 xG/match

14.2 shots/matchShots6/6▲15 shots/match

5.17 shots/match▲Shots on target6/64 shots/match

48.8%Possession6/645%

5.33 corners/matchCorners6/63.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls6/612.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/111.8 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness13 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4