PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026Grimsta IP

IF Brommapojkarna 1–2 Malmö FF · Allsvenskan

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Malmö FF won 1–2.

Shots
1418
Shots on target
49
Expected goals
1.733.22
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Malmö FF beat IF Brommapojkarna 2–1. Recorded in this match (IF Brommapojkarna – Malmö FF): shots 14–18, shots on target 4–9, expected goals 1.73–3.22, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

IF Brommapojkarna's recent record differs from the season

weak

IF Brommapojkarna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.31 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Malmö FF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Malmö FF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsIF Brommapojkarna · Malmö FF14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIF BrommapojkarnaMalmö FFBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against17.6 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Malmö FF have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.1%PossessionIF Brommapojkarna · Malmö FF● 56.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricIF BrommapojkarnaMalmö FFBaseline
Possession46.1%56.5%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots18 shotsIF Brommapojkarna 14 shots, Malmö FF 18 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots9 shotsIF Brommapojkarna 4 shots, Malmö FF 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.73 xG3.22 xGIF Brommapojkarna 1.73 xG, Malmö FF 3.22 xG
  • Possession37%63%IF Brommapojkarna 37%, Malmö FF 63%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersIF Brommapojkarna 4 corners, Malmö FF 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls21 foulsIF Brommapojkarna 11 fouls, Malmö FF 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards5 cardsIF Brommapojkarna 2 cards, Malmö FF 5 cards
  • Passes361 passes620 passesIF Brommapojkarna 361 passes, Malmö FF 620 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.1%88.6%IF Brommapojkarna 83.1%, Malmö FF 88.6%
  • Shots inside box7 shots12 shotsIF Brommapojkarna 7 shots, Malmö FF 12 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks4 blocksIF Brommapojkarna 6 blocks, Malmö FF 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves7 saves3 savesIF Brommapojkarna 7 saves, Malmö FF 3 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides3 offsidesIF Brommapojkarna 3 offsides, Malmö FF 3 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Andrej Đurić · Malmö FF · 16′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Skogmar · Malmö FF · 16′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJens Stryger Larsen · Malmö FF · 27′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedKaare Barslund · IF Brommapojkarna · 30′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedDavid Isso · IF Brommapojkarna · 44′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Đurić · Malmö FF · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedOliver Zandén · IF Brommapojkarna · 45′ · 0.00 xG · on targetOliver Berg · IF Brommapojkarna · 48′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedErik Botheim · Malmö FF · 53′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Troelsen · IF Brommapojkarna · 55′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Wael Derbali · IF Brommapojkarna · 56′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedKenan Busuladžić · Malmö FF · 76′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedBusanello · Malmö FF · 84′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedErik Botheim · Malmö FF · 35′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAdrian Skogmar · Malmö FF · 37′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSead Hakšabanović · Malmö FF · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSion Oppong · IF Brommapojkarna · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Skogmar · Malmö FF · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnton Höög · Malmö FF · 66′ · 0.01 xG · on targetErik Botheim · Malmö FF · 82′ · 0.02 xG · on targetObilor Denzel Okeke · IF Brommapojkarna · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedObilor Denzel Okeke · IF Brommapojkarna · 1′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Assibu · Malmö FF · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSead Hakšabanović · Malmö FF · 45′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDavid Isso · IF Brommapojkarna · 54′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSead Hakšabanović · Malmö FF · 51′ · 0.10 xG · goalKamilcan Sever · IF Brommapojkarna · 77′ · 0.10 xG · goalDiego García · Malmö FF · 86′ · 0.10 xG · goalErik Botheim · Malmö FF · 9′ · 0.74 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

IF Brommapojkarna: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.29 xG. Malmö FF: 18 shots, 8 on target, 1.13 xG. · 3 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Kamilcan Sever · IF Brommapojkarna · 77′Sead Hakšabanović · Malmö FF · 51′Diego García · Malmö FF · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: IF Brommapojkarna 0.29 xG · Malmö FF 1.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1IF Brommapojkarna
1Draws
3Malmö FF
IF Brommapojkarna — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan2–3
Malmö FF — IF Brommapojkarna · Allsvenskan1–2
Malmö FF — IF Brommapojkarna · Allsvenskan2–1
IF Brommapojkarna — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan2–2
Malmö FF — IF Brommapojkarna · Allsvenskan2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: IF Brommapojkarna favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Malmö FF in 10 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

IF Brommapojkarna16 matchesMalmö FF15 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored16/15▲ 2 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed16/151.67 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals13/9▲ 2.44 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots16/15▲ 14.3 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target16/15▲ 4.93 shots/match
46.1%Possession16/15● 56.5%
4.31 corners/matchCorners16/15● 4.73 corners/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls16/1514.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIF BrommapojkarnaMalmö FF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headIF Brommapojkarna — Malmö FF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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