Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCScheduledGrimsta IPPre-match analysis

IF Brommapojkarna

WDDLL

vsPre-match analysis

Malmo FF

LWWWD

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Malmo FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Malmo FF have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Malmo FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Malmo FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.08 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.8 goals/match	2.08 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Malmo FF have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.3%▲PossessionIF Brommapojkarna · Malmo FF55.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	IF Brommapojkarna	Malmo FF	Baseline
Possession	47.3%	55.6%	48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

IF Brommapojkarna favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Malmo FF in 7 · 4 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲2.08 goals/match

1.62 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/131.69 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/7▲2.49 xG/match

1.66 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 10/71.93 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/13▲14.3 shots/match

16.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/13▲14.6 shots/match

3.92 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/13▲4.92 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/135.54 shots/match

47.3%Possessionseason · 13/1355.6%

4.46 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/134.85 corners/match

5.46 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/135.85 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/0—

9.54 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1313.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

8%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/13▲31%

85%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/13▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

IF Brommapojkarna34.4

Malmo FF84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

IF Brommapojkarna33.3

Malmo FF62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

IF Brommapojkarna31.2

Malmo FF30.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

IF Brommapojkarna9.4

Malmo FF34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

IF Brommapojkarna3.1

Malmo FF84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

IF Brommapojkarna25

Malmo FF40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

IF Brommapojkarna19.5

Malmo FF59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.8 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.08 xG/matchExpected goals3/4▲2.98 xG/match

10 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.6 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.8 shots/match

49.8%Possession5/564%

5.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

7.8 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.2 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲2.49 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots10/10▲15 shots/match

3.9 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.3 shots/match

48.6%Possession10/1058.2%

5 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

8.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲2.08 goals/match

1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed13/131.69 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals10/7▲2.49 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShots13/13▲14.3 shots/match

3.92 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲4.92 shots/match

47.3%Possession13/1355.6%

4.46 corners/matchCorners13/134.85 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

9.54 fouls/matchFouls13/1313.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 7 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/7▲1.29 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/71.43 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.96 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots5/7▲13.1 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/73.57 shots/match

48.8%Possession5/754.1%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

7.2 fouls/matchFouls5/712.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.8 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC · analysis-v4