PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026Friends Arena

AIK 0–3 Örgryte IS · Allsvenskan

AIK

LWWWD
0–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Örgryte IS won 0–3.

Shots
1413
Shots on target
17
Expected goals
1.352.36
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Örgryte IS beat AIK 3–0. Recorded in this match (AIK – Örgryte IS): shots 14–13, shots on target 1–7, expected goals 1.35–2.36, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AIK have a visible home split

moderate

AIK's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Örgryte IS's recent record differs from the season

weak

Örgryte IS's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AIK show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

AIK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAIK · Örgryte IS11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAIKÖrgryte ISBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match11.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match17 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots13 shotsAIK 14 shots, Örgryte IS 13 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot7 shotsAIK 1 shot, Örgryte IS 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.35 xG2.36 xGAIK 1.35 xG, Örgryte IS 2.36 xG
  • Possession67%33%AIK 67%, Örgryte IS 33%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersAIK 5 corners, Örgryte IS 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls6 foulsAIK 10 fouls, Örgryte IS 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsAIK 2 cards, Örgryte IS 2 cards
  • Passes661 passes324 passesAIK 661 passes, Örgryte IS 324 passes
  • Pass accuracy89.4%80.3%AIK 89.4%, Örgryte IS 80.3%
  • Shots inside box9 shots11 shotsAIK 9 shots, Örgryte IS 11 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks2 blocksAIK 6 blocks, Örgryte IS 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves1 saveAIK 4 saves, Örgryte IS 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideAIK 2 offsides, Örgryte IS 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Linus Järeteg · AIK · 5′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Laturnus · Örgryte IS · 11′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedOwen Parker-Price · Örgryte IS · 18′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJohan Hove · AIK · 27′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedKevin Filling · AIK · 35′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedNoah Christoffersson · Örgryte IS · 37′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedVictor Andersson · AIK · 57′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Hofvander · Örgryte IS · 61′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJohan Hove · AIK · 61′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedLukas Bergquist · AIK · 72′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedHerve Matthys · AIK · 76′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAnton Andreasson · Örgryte IS · 84′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSixten Gustafsson · AIK · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Paulson · Örgryte IS · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAmel Mujanić · AIK · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNoah Christoffersson · Örgryte IS · 44′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKevin Filling · AIK · 61′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKevin Filling · AIK · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJohan Hove · AIK · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJohan Hove · AIK · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Hofvander · Örgryte IS · 51′ · 0.05 xG · on targetWilliam Hofvander · Örgryte IS · 51′ · 0.07 xG · on targetNoah Christoffersson · Örgryte IS · 2′ · 0.10 xG · goalNoah Christoffersson · Örgryte IS · 23′ · 0.10 xG · goalNoah Christoffersson · Örgryte IS · 68′ · 0.10 xG · goalChristoffer Styffe · Örgryte IS · 51′ · 0.11 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AIK: 13 shots, 1 on target, 0.09 xG. Örgryte IS: 13 shots, 7 on target, 0.55 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Noah Christoffersson · Örgryte IS · 2′Noah Christoffersson · Örgryte IS · 23′Noah Christoffersson · Örgryte IS · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AIK 0.09 xG · Örgryte IS 0.55 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AIK favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Örgryte IS in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AIK15 matchesÖrgryte IS15 matches
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151.13 goals/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/152.2 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals9/10▲ 1.25 xG/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots15/1511.1 shots/match
4.27 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/153.93 shots/match
52.7% ●Possession15/1543.3%
5.73 corners/match ●Corners15/154.07 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAIKÖrgryte IS
CompetitionAllsvenskan
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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