Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Malmo FF

LWWWD

1–2Full-time recap

Degerfors IF

LDLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Malmo FF	Degerfors IF
Shots	16 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.53 xG/match▲	0.7 xG/match
Possession	74%	26%
Corners	5 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	17 fouls/match	18 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Malmo FF: 14 shots, 2 on target, 0.52 xG. Degerfors IF: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Malmo FF 0.52 xG · Degerfors IF 0.27 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Malmo FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Malmo FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Malmo FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.6 goals/match	2 goals/match	1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.7 fouls/match▲FoulsMalmo FF · Degerfors IF14.6 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Malmo FF	Degerfors IF	Baseline
Fouls	13.7 fouls/match	14.6 fouls/match	11.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Malmo FF have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.9%▲PossessionMalmo FF · Degerfors IF46.1%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.9 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Malmo FF	Degerfors IF	Baseline
Possession	56.9%	46.1%	49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Malmo FF

0Draws

0Degerfors IF

4 Jul 2026Degerfors IF — Malmo FF · Allsvenskan0–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Malmo FF favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Degerfors IF in 3 · 5 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/141 goals/match

1.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/141.71 goals/match

2.5 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/110.88 xG/match

1.78 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/111.78 xG/match

14.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/1410.7 shots/match

13.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/14▲12.4 shots/match

4.86 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/142.93 shots/match

5.36 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/14▲4.57 shots/match

56.9%Possessionseason · 14/1446.1%

4.86 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/144.43 corners/match

5.71 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/14▲4.29 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1414.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/147%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1464%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Malmo FF84.4

Degerfors IF15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Malmo FF65.6

Degerfors IF7.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Malmo FF33.3

Degerfors IF56.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Malmo FF28.1

Degerfors IF15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Malmo FF84.4

Degerfors IF96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Malmo FF40.6

Degerfors IF21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Malmo FF60.9

Degerfors IF32.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

2.89 xG/match▲Expected goals5/40.88 xG/match

17 shots/match▲Shots5/59 shots/match

5.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/51.6 shots/match

66.6%Possession5/540%

5 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match

1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.9 goals/match

2.5 xG/match▲Expected goals8/70.88 xG/match

15.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.1 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.1 shots/match

59.9%Possession10/1044%

4.6 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141 goals/match

1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.71 goals/match

2.5 xG/match▲Expected goals8/110.88 xG/match

14.4 shots/match▲Shots14/1410.7 shots/match

4.86 shots/match▲Shots on target14/142.93 shots/match

56.9%Possession14/1446.1%

4.86 corners/matchCorners14/144.43 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1414.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

2.71 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.14 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1.57 goals/match

3.04 xG/match▲Expected goals4/50.96 xG/match

15.7 shots/match▲Shots7/710.9 shots/match

6.14 shots/match▲Shots on target7/74 shots/match

59.7%Possession7/746%

4.71 corners/matchCorners7/74.14 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.1 fouls/matchFouls7/712.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

19.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/120.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Malmo FF's recent record differs from the season

Both teams have elevated fouls records

The teams have contrasting possession records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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