PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

Malmö FF 1–2 Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Degerfors IF won 1–2.

Shots
165
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
2.530.7
Possession
74%26%

Full time

What the match recorded

Degerfors IF beat Malmö FF 2–1. Recorded in this match (Malmö FF – Degerfors IF): shots 16–5, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 2.53–0.7, possession 74%–26%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Degerfors IF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Degerfors IF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.4 fouls/matchFoulsMalmö FF · Degerfors IF14 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricMalmö FFDegerfors IFBaseline
Fouls14.4 fouls/match14 fouls/match11.9 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Malmö FF have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.6% ●PossessionMalmö FF · Degerfors IF46.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMalmö FFDegerfors IFBaseline
Possession57.6%46.9%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots5 shotsMalmö FF 16 shots, Degerfors IF 5 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsMalmö FF 4 shots, Degerfors IF 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.53 xG0.7 xGMalmö FF 2.53 xG, Degerfors IF 0.7 xG
  • Possession74%26%Malmö FF 74%, Degerfors IF 26%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersMalmö FF 5 corners, Degerfors IF 4 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls18 foulsMalmö FF 17 fouls, Degerfors IF 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsMalmö FF 1 card, Degerfors IF 3 cards
  • Passes659 passes227 passesMalmö FF 659 passes, Degerfors IF 227 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.6%64.8%Malmö FF 87.6%, Degerfors IF 64.8%
  • Shots inside box12 shots3 shotsMalmö FF 12 shots, Degerfors IF 3 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks0 blocksMalmö FF 7 blocks, Degerfors IF 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesMalmö FF 1 save, Degerfors IF 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides5 offsidesMalmö FF 0 offsides, Degerfors IF 5 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sead Hakšabanović · Malmö FF · 16′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedArman Taranis · Degerfors IF · 37′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedOtto Rosengren · Malmö FF · 39′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedDijan Vukojevic · Degerfors IF · 43′ · 0.00 xG · on targetErik Botheim · Malmö FF · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedKenan Busuladžić · Malmö FF · 66′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSead Hakšabanović · Malmö FF · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSead Hakšabanović · Malmö FF · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDijan Vukojevic · Degerfors IF · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSead Hakšabanović · Malmö FF · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnton Höög · Malmö FF · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOtto Rosengren · Malmö FF · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSead Hakšabanović · Malmö FF · 48′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMalte Palsson · Malmö FF · 63′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSead Hakšabanović · Malmö FF · 7′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKenan Busuladžić · Malmö FF · 15′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDijan Vukojevic · Degerfors IF · 18′ · 0.10 xG · goalDiego García · Malmö FF · 48′ · 0.13 xG · goalDijan Vukojevic · Degerfors IF · 70′ · 0.15 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Malmö FF: 14 shots, 2 on target, 0.52 xG. Degerfors IF: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.27 xG. · 2 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Diego García · Malmö FF · 48′Dijan Vukojevic · Degerfors IF · 18′Dijan Vukojevic · Degerfors IF · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Malmö FF 0.52 xG · Degerfors IF 0.27 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Malmö FF
1Draws
0Degerfors IF
Degerfors IF — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan0–1
Malmö FF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan1–1
Degerfors IF — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan1–4
Degerfors IF — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan1–2
Malmö FF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan5–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Malmö FF favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Degerfors IF in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Malmö FF16 matchesDegerfors IF16 matches
1.94 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/160.88 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.69 goals/match
2.45 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/130.98 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots16/1610.8 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/162.81 shots/match
57.6% ●Possession16/1646.9%
4.75 corners/match ●Corners16/164.69 corners/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls16/1614 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMalmö FFDegerfors IF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headMalmö FF — Degerfors IF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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