PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

IK Sirius 2–2 IF Brommapojkarna · Allsvenskan

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

IK Sirius and IF Brommapojkarna drew 2–2.

Shots
2113
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
2.160.55
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

IK Sirius and IF Brommapojkarna drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (IK Sirius – IF Brommapojkarna): shots 21–13, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 2.16–0.55, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

IK Sirius show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

IK Sirius's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsIK Sirius · IF Brommapojkarna10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIK SiriusIF BrommapojkarnaBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match10.6 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against13.1 shots/match17.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

IF Brommapojkarna's recent record differs from the season

weak

IF Brommapojkarna's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match10.6 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots13 shotsIK Sirius 21 shots, IF Brommapojkarna 13 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsIK Sirius 9 shots, IF Brommapojkarna 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.16 xG0.55 xGIK Sirius 2.16 xG, IF Brommapojkarna 0.55 xG
  • Possession53%47%IK Sirius 53%, IF Brommapojkarna 47%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersIK Sirius 8 corners, IF Brommapojkarna 4 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls14 foulsIK Sirius 18 fouls, IF Brommapojkarna 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsIK Sirius 2 cards, IF Brommapojkarna 3 cards
  • Passes506 passes447 passesIK Sirius 506 passes, IF Brommapojkarna 447 passes
  • Pass accuracy87%84.1%IK Sirius 87%, IF Brommapojkarna 84.1%
  • Shots inside box11 shots7 shotsIK Sirius 11 shots, IF Brommapojkarna 7 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks4 blocksIK Sirius 3 blocks, IF Brommapojkarna 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves7 savesIK Sirius 2 saves, IF Brommapojkarna 7 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesIK Sirius 1 offside, IF Brommapojkarna 2 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Anton Kurochkin · IF Brommapojkarna · 14′ · 0.00 xG · on targetKaare Barslund · IF Brommapojkarna · 22′ · 0.00 xG · on targetAugust Ljungberg · IK Sirius · 34′ · 0.00 xG · on targetObilor Denzel Okeke · IF Brommapojkarna · 38′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedVictor Svensson · IK Sirius · 39′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAugust Ljungberg · IK Sirius · 46′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMelker Heier · IK Sirius · 62′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJoakim Persson · IK Sirius · 66′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedHenrik Castegren · IK Sirius · 66′ · 0.00 xG · on targetSimon Strand · IF Brommapojkarna · 70′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedKamilcan Sever · IF Brommapojkarna · 79′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSimon Strand · IF Brommapojkarna · 85′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedLukas Björklund · IF Brommapojkarna · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedIsak Bjerkebo · IK Sirius · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedIsak Bjerkebo · IK Sirius · 19′ · 0.01 xG · on targetIsak Bjerkebo · IK Sirius · 31′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAnton Kurochkin · IF Brommapojkarna · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAugust Ljungberg · IK Sirius · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Lindberg · IK Sirius · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOtso Liimatta · IK Sirius · 76′ · 0.01 xG · on targetIsak Bjerkebo · IK Sirius · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKamilcan Sever · IF Brommapojkarna · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsak Bjerkebo · IK Sirius · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHenrik Castegren · IK Sirius · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAugust Ljungberg · IK Sirius · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsak Bjerkebo · IK Sirius · 71′ · 0.07 xG · on targetVictor Svensson · IK Sirius · 17′ · 0.10 xG · goalIsak Bjerkebo · IK Sirius · 23′ · 0.10 xG · goalOliver Zandén · IF Brommapojkarna · 25′ · 0.10 xG · goalObilor Denzel Okeke · IF Brommapojkarna · 28′ · 0.10 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

IK Sirius: 19 shots, 9 on target, 0.43 xG. IF Brommapojkarna: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.23 xG. · 4 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′Victor Svensson · IK Sirius · 17′Isak Bjerkebo · IK Sirius · 23′Oliver Zandén · IF Brommapojkarna · 25′Obilor Denzel Okeke · IF Brommapojkarna · 28′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: IK Sirius 0.43 xG · IF Brommapojkarna 0.23 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3IK Sirius
1Draws
1IF Brommapojkarna
IF Brommapojkarna — IK Sirius · Allsvenskan1–2
IF Brommapojkarna — IK Sirius · Allsvenskan2–4
IK Sirius — IF Brommapojkarna · Allsvenskan0–3
IK Sirius — IF Brommapojkarna · Allsvenskan3–2
IF Brommapojkarna — IK Sirius · Allsvenskan1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: IK Sirius favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · IF Brommapojkarna in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

IK Sirius16 matchesIF Brommapojkarna17 matches
2.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/171.35 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/171.65 goals/match
2.66 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/141.16 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots16/1710.6 shots/match
6.44 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/173.59 shots/match
48% ●Possession16/1746.2%
5.69 corners/match ●Corners16/174.29 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls16/179.76 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 10 Aug 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIK SiriusIF Brommapojkarna
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headIK Sirius — IF Brommapojkarna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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