Allsvenskan · 2026Fri, 14 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis
vsPre-match analysis

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What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: IF Elfsborg's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Västerås SK. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

IF Elfsborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

IF Elfsborg's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.4 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Västerås SK.

6.06 daysRest daysIF Elfsborg · Västerås SK4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricIF ElfsborgVästerås SKBaseline
Rest days6.06 days4 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches1 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Västerås SK show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Västerås SK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/matchShotsIF Elfsborg · Västerås SK10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIF ElfsborgVästerås SKBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0IF Elfsborg
1Draws
0Västerås SK
Vasteras SK FKIF Elfsborg · Allsvenskan22

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

IF Elfsborg favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Västerås SK in 2 · 4 too close

1.27 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/141.64 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/141.64 goals/match
1.84 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/81.49 xG/match
1.69 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/81.91 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/1410.4 shots/match
13.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/1414.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/143.5 shots/match
4.47 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/144.5 shots/match
46.5%Possessionseason · 15/1446.9%
3.93 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/144.64 corners/match
5.2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/146 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/1
10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1413 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1429%
93%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1479%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

IF Elfsborg21.9
Västerås SK28.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

IF Elfsborg30.2
Västerås SK28.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

IF Elfsborg69.8
Västerås SK46.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

IF Elfsborg46.9
Västerås SK3.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

IF Elfsborg9.4
Västerås SK75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

IF Elfsborg9.4
Västerås SK34.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

IF Elfsborg21.9
Västerås SK32
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
2.29 xG/matchExpected goals4/2
16.4 shots/matchShots5/512 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match
50.8%Possession5/547%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
2.29 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.81 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots10/1011 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target10/103.5 shots/match
49.7%Possession10/1047.3%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 14 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored15/141.64 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed15/141.64 goals/match
1.84 xG/matchExpected goals7/81.49 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots15/1410.4 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target15/143.5 shots/match
46.5%Possession15/1446.9%
3.93 corners/matchCorners15/144.64 corners/match
Cards0/1
10.9 fouls/matchFouls15/1413 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 7 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored8/71.43 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/71.57 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goals3/41.85 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots8/79.57 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target8/73.43 shots/match
41.6%Possession8/745.1%
3.88 corners/matchCorners8/74.71 corners/match
Cards0/1
11.5 fouls/matchFouls8/714.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.06 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness6 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 14 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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