Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 14:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hammarby IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Kalmar FF's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Hammarby IF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Hammarby IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/matchShotsKalmar FF · Hammarby IF20 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKalmar FFHammarby IFBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match20 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Kalmar FF's recent record differs from the season

weak

Kalmar FF's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.8 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Hammarby IF have a visible away split

moderate

Hammarby IF's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

16.2 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season20 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match20 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Kalmar FF
0Draws
1Hammarby IF
Hammarby FFKalmar FF · Allsvenskan20

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Kalmar FF favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Hammarby IF in 11 · 3 too close

1.29 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/152.33 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/150.93 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/92.6 xG/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/91.08 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/1520 shots/match
13.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/1510.5 shots/match
4.43 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/157.33 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/153.27 shots/match
47.2%Possessionseason · 14/1560.3%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/156 corners/match
5.57 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/152.73 corners/match
Cardsseason · 1/1
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1511.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1540%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1587%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Kalmar FF34.4
Hammarby IF96.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Kalmar FF37.5
Hammarby IF94.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Kalmar FF45.8
Hammarby IF95.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Kalmar FF65.6
Hammarby IF90.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Kalmar FF21.9
Hammarby IF15.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 53%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Kalmar FF53.1
Hammarby IF81.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Kalmar FF39.9
Hammarby IF72.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.6 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals4/42.62 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots5/518 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/58.6 shots/match
45.4%Possession5/559.4%
2.2 corners/matchCorners5/57.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.9 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals7/72.6 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots10/1020 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target10/107.6 shots/match
47.7%Possession10/1058%
3.9 corners/matchCorners10/106.9 corners/match
Cards0/1
11.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 15 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored14/152.33 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed14/150.93 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals7/92.6 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots14/1520 shots/match
4.43 shots/matchShots on target14/157.33 shots/match
47.2%Possession14/1560.3%
5 corners/matchCorners14/156 corners/match
Cards1/1
11.5 fouls/matchFouls14/1511.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches
1.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/61 goals/match
0.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/61.5 goals/match
Expected goals2/31.77 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots7/616.2 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target7/65.33 shots/match
49%Possession7/660.7%
6.71 corners/matchCorners7/64.67 corners/match
Cards1/1
10.1 fouls/matchFouls7/69.67 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness7 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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