PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

Kalmar FF 0–4 Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan

0–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Hammarby IF won 0–4.

Shots
426
Shots on target
214
Expected goals
0.443.8
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hammarby IF beat Kalmar FF 4–0. Recorded in this match (Kalmar FF – Hammarby IF): shots 4–26, shots on target 2–14, expected goals 0.44–3.8, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kalmar FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Kalmar FF's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Hammarby IF show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Hammarby IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsKalmar FF · Hammarby IF20.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKalmar FFHammarby IFBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match20.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against13.6 shots/match9.88 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Hammarby IF have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.5%PossessionKalmar FF · Hammarby IF● 60.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricKalmar FFHammarby IFBaseline
Possession46.5%60.8%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots26 shotsKalmar FF 4 shots, Hammarby IF 26 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots14 shotsKalmar FF 2 shots, Hammarby IF 14 shots
  • Expected goals0.44 xG3.8 xGKalmar FF 0.44 xG, Hammarby IF 3.8 xG
  • Possession36%64%Kalmar FF 36%, Hammarby IF 64%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersKalmar FF 4 corners, Hammarby IF 9 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsKalmar FF 11 fouls, Hammarby IF 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardKalmar FF 0 cards, Hammarby IF 1 card
  • Passes358 passes626 passesKalmar FF 358 passes, Hammarby IF 626 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.5%89.5%Kalmar FF 83.5%, Hammarby IF 89.5%
  • Shots inside box1 shot14 shotsKalmar FF 1 shot, Hammarby IF 14 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksKalmar FF 1 block, Hammarby IF 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves9 saves3 savesKalmar FF 9 saves, Hammarby IF 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesKalmar FF 1 offside, Hammarby IF 2 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Montader Madjed · Hammarby IF · 12′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedVictor Lind · Hammarby IF · 16′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAmin Boudri · Hammarby IF · 26′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMontader Madjed · Hammarby IF · 33′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedFrank Junior Adjei · Hammarby IF · 33′ · 0.00 xG · on targetVictor Lind · Hammarby IF · 38′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMontader Madjed · Hammarby IF · 43′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedVictor Lind · Hammarby IF · 44′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedFrank Junior Adjei · Hammarby IF · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedFrank Junior Adjei · Hammarby IF · 52′ · 0.00 xG · on targetNassef Chourak · Kalmar FF · 65′ · 0.00 xG · on targetPaulos Abraham · Hammarby IF · 66′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedOliver Jordan Hagen · Hammarby IF · 86′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedNassef Chourak · Kalmar FF · 89′ · 0.00 xG · on targetFrank Junior Adjei · Hammarby IF · 14′ · 0.01 xG · on targetVictor Lind · Hammarby IF · 31′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRobert Gojani · Kalmar FF · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMontader Madjed · Hammarby IF · 17′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFrank Junior Adjei · Hammarby IF · 31′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMontader Madjed · Hammarby IF · 50′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLars Sætra · Kalmar FF · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVictor Lind · Hammarby IF · 47′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVictor Lind · Hammarby IF · 66′ · 0.07 xG · on targetFrank Junior Adjei · Hammarby IF · 43′ · 0.10 xG · goalFrederik Winther · Hammarby IF · 48′ · 0.10 xG · goalNoah Persson · Hammarby IF · 54′ · 0.10 xG · goalPaulos Abraham · Hammarby IF · 61′ · 0.10 xG · goalVictor Lind · Hammarby IF · 66′ · 0.10 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kalmar FF: 4 shots, 2 on target, 0.06 xG. Hammarby IF: 24 shots, 13 on target, 0.79 xG. · 2 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Frank Junior Adjei · Hammarby IF · 43′Frederik Winther · Hammarby IF · 48′Noah Persson · Hammarby IF · 54′Paulos Abraham · Hammarby IF · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kalmar FF 0.06 xG · Hammarby IF 0.79 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Kalmar FF
1Draws
4Hammarby IF
Hammarby IF — Kalmar FF · Allsvenskan2–0
Kalmar FF — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan1–4
Hammarby IF — Kalmar FF · Allsvenskan3–1
Kalmar FF — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan0–0
Hammarby IF — Kalmar FF · Allsvenskan3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Kalmar FF favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Hammarby IF in 13

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Kalmar FF17 matchesHammarby IF17 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 2.35 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals10/11▲ 2.69 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 20.6 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 7.59 shots/match
46.5%Possession17/17● 60.8%
4.88 corners/matchCorners17/17● 6.47 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKalmar FFHammarby IF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headKalmar FF — Hammarby IF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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