Allsvenskan · 2026Wed, 20 May 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeGamla UlleviFull-time recap

Gais

DDWWD

2–0Full-time recap

Hammarby FF

DDWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Gais	Hammarby FF
Shots	16 shots/match	17 shots/match▲
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.64 xG/match▲	1.97 xG/match
Possession	36%	64%
Corners	2 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	11 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Gais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hammarby FF. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Gais's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.33 goals/match	1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hammarby FF.

4.17 days▲Rest daysGais · Hammarby FF3.21 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Gais	Hammarby FF	Baseline
Rest days	4.17 days	3.21 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Hammarby FF have a visible away split

weak

Hammarby FF's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

15.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season21.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	15.5 shots/match	21.2 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Gais favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Hammarby FF in 5 · 8 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/9▲2.33 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/9▲0.89 goals/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/52.59 xG/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/51.3 xG/match

14.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/9▲21.2 shots/match

10.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/910.3 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲6.89 shots/match

3.56 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/93.44 shots/match

49.3%Possessionseason · 9/961.7%

4.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/95.11 corners/match

4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲2.44 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

16.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/911.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

44%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/933%

78%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/978%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Gais53.1

Hammarby FF96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Gais57.3

Hammarby FF94.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Gais80.2

Hammarby FF88.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Gais78.1

Hammarby FF96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Gais96.9

Hammarby FF9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 56%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Gais34.4

Hammarby FF53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Gais64.1

Hammarby FF64.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.8 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/50.8 goals/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goals3/4▲2.15 xG/match

15 shots/matchShots5/5▲21.4 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.4 shots/match

47.6%Possession5/558.6%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

16 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲2.33 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲0.89 goals/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goals3/5▲2.59 xG/match

14.4 shots/matchShots9/9▲21.2 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲6.89 shots/match

49.3%Possession9/961.7%

4.56 corners/matchCorners9/95.11 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

16.6 fouls/matchFouls9/911.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲2.33 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲0.89 goals/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goals3/5▲2.59 xG/match

14.4 shots/matchShots9/9▲21.2 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲6.89 shots/match

49.3%Possession9/961.7%

4.56 corners/matchCorners9/95.11 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

16.6 fouls/matchFouls9/911.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 4 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/40.5 goals/match

0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/41.25 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

17.2 shots/match▲Shots5/415.5 shots/match

5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/43.75 shots/match

45.4%Possession5/462.8%

5 corners/matchCorners5/43 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/410.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.21 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 20 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4