Allsvenskan · 2026Thu, 21 May 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeBorås ArenaFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricIF ElfsborgMjallby AIF
Shots13 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match3 shots/match
Possession43%57%
Corners4 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Mjallby AIF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: IF Elfsborg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Mjallby AIF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mjallby AIF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

IF Elfsborg have a visible home split

moderate

IF Elfsborg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.2 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Mjallby AIF have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.2%PossessionIF Elfsborg · Mjallby AIF54%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricIF ElfsborgMjallby AIFBaseline
Possession45.2%54%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

IF Elfsborg favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Mjallby AIF in 3 · 7 too close

1.44 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/91.44 goals/match
0.89 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/91.11 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/41.37 xG/match
0.67 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/41.96 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/912.3 shots/match
11.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/916.3 shots/match
3.44 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/95.33 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/94.56 shots/match
45.2%Possessionseason · 9/954%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/95 corners/match
5.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/94.11 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/1
11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/912.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/933%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/956%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

IF Elfsborg15.6
Mjallby AIF84.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

IF Elfsborg33.3
Mjallby AIF56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

IF Elfsborg83.4
Mjallby AIF49
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

IF Elfsborg28.1
Mjallby AIF21.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

IF Elfsborg21.9
Mjallby AIF34.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

IF Elfsborg15.6
Mjallby AIF53.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

IF Elfsborg18.8
Mjallby AIF48.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
Expected goals0/2
11.2 shots/matchShots5/510.4 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/55.8 shots/match
52%Possession5/553.2%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
Cards0/1
9 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
1.44 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.44 goals/match
0.89 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.11 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals3/41.37 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots9/912.3 shots/match
3.44 shots/matchShots on target9/95.33 shots/match
45.2%Possession9/954%
4 corners/matchCorners9/95 corners/match
Cards0/1
11.4 fouls/matchFouls9/912.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
1.44 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.44 goals/match
0.89 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.11 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals3/41.37 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots9/912.3 shots/match
3.44 shots/matchShots on target9/95.33 shots/match
45.2%Possession9/954%
4 corners/matchCorners9/95 corners/match
Cards0/1
11.4 fouls/matchFouls9/912.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
Expected goals1/1
12.2 shots/matchShots5/511.8 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match
40.8%Possession5/553%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.1 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 21 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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