Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 24 May 2026, 12:00 UTCFull timeStudenternas IPFull-time recap

Sirius

WDWWW

2–1Full-time recap

Gais

DWWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sirius	Gais
Shots	15 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Possession	44%	56%
Corners	7 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	11 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Gais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Gais. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Gais's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.3 goals/match	1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Gais.

5.79 days▲Rest daysSirius · Gais3.79 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Sirius	Gais	Baseline
Rest days	5.79 days	3.79 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Gais have a visible away split

moderate

Gais's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.6 shots/match	13.9 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sirius favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Gais in 2 · 7 too close

2.67 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/101.3 goals/match

1.11 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/101.1 goals/match

2.56 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/31.45 xG/match

0.63 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/31.26 xG/match

15.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/1013.9 shots/match

11.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/1011.1 shots/match

5.56 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/104.9 shots/match

3.44 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 9/103.8 shots/match

48%Possessionseason · 9/1050%

5.11 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/104.5 corners/match

4.89 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/10▲4.3 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/2—

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/1016 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/10▲40%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/1080%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sirius34.4

Gais59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sirius83.3

Gais51.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sirius79.2

Gais82.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sirius84.4

Gais53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sirius40.6

Gais96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 56%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sirius65.6

Gais34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sirius64.8

Gais62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.8 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

17.4 shots/match▲Shots5/514.6 shots/match

6.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.8 shots/match

51%Possession5/546.4%

6.4 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 10 matches

2.67 goals/match▲Goals scored9/101.3 goals/match

1.11 goals/matchGoals allowed9/101.1 goals/match

2.56 xG/match▲Expected goals4/31.45 xG/match

15.1 shots/match▲Shots9/1013.9 shots/match

5.56 shots/match▲Shots on target9/104.9 shots/match

48%Possession9/1050%

5.11 corners/matchCorners9/104.5 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls9/1016 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 10 matches

2.67 goals/match▲Goals scored9/101.3 goals/match

1.11 goals/matchGoals allowed9/101.1 goals/match

2.56 xG/match▲Expected goals4/31.45 xG/match

15.1 shots/match▲Shots9/1013.9 shots/match

5.56 shots/match▲Shots on target9/104.9 shots/match

48%Possession9/1050%

5.11 corners/matchCorners9/104.5 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls9/1016 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

2.78 xG/matchExpected goals3/1—

15.8 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match

5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match

48.2%Possession5/554.6%

5 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/518.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.79 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 10home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 May 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4