Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 24 May 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timeEleda StadionFull-time recap

Malmo FF

LWLLL

2–3Full-time recap

Vasteras SK FK

DWLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Malmo FF	Vasteras SK FK
Shots	9 shots/match	9 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Possession	61%	39%
Corners	2 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	18 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Vasteras SK FK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Vasteras SK FK's recent record differs from the season

weak

Vasteras SK FK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1.44 goals/match	1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Malmo FF favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Vasteras SK FK in 3 · 6 too close

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/91.44 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/9▲1.89 goals/match

1.85 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/61.17 xG/match

2.6 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/61.95 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/99.56 shots/match

15.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/915.2 shots/match

4.33 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/93.11 shots/match

6.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲4.89 shots/match

51.6%Possessionseason · 9/946.8%

4.78 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/94.67 corners/match

6.44 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲6 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/1—

13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/913.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/911%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/978%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Malmo FF65.6

Vasteras SK FK28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Malmo FF53.1

Vasteras SK FK22.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Malmo FF15.6

Vasteras SK FK28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Malmo FF40.6

Vasteras SK FK3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Malmo FF71.9

Vasteras SK FK84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Malmo FF46.9

Vasteras SK FK40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Malmo FF51.6

Vasteras SK FK34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.85 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.4 xG/match

13.2 shots/match▲Shots5/510 shots/match

4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match

53.2%Possession5/547.6%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91.44 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.89 goals/match

1.85 xG/match▲Expected goals3/61.17 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shots9/99.56 shots/match

4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.11 shots/match

51.6%Possession9/946.8%

4.78 corners/matchCorners9/94.67 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

13.1 fouls/matchFouls9/913.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91.44 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.89 goals/match

1.85 xG/match▲Expected goals3/61.17 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shots9/99.56 shots/match

4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.11 shots/match

51.6%Possession9/946.8%

4.78 corners/matchCorners9/94.67 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

13.1 fouls/matchFouls9/913.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 5 matches

2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/51.4 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/5▲2 goals/match

—Expected goals1/31.07 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots4/58.2 shots/match

4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/52.6 shots/match

54%Possession4/543.4%

4.25 corners/matchCorners4/54.4 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

15 fouls/matchFouls4/514.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 May 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4