Allsvenskan · 2026Sat, 30 May 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeEleda StadionFull-time recap

Malmo FF

WLLLL

5–2Full-time recap

Halmstad

LLLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Malmo FF	Halmstad
Shots	19 shots/match▲	14 shots/match
Shots on target	10 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Expected goals	3.24 xG/match▲	1.73 xG/match
Possession	66%	34%
Corners	4 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	11 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Halmstad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Malmo FF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Halmstad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Halmstad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.9 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	0.9 goals/match	1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Malmo FF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Malmo FF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsMalmo FF · Halmstad12.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Malmo FF	Halmstad	Baseline
Shots	13.6 shots/match	12.3 shots/match	13.8 shots/match
Shots against	15.6 shots/match	17 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Malmo FF have recorded the higher season possession share.

53%▲PossessionMalmo FF · Halmstad40.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Malmo FF	Halmstad	Baseline
Possession	53%	40.6%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Malmo FF favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Halmstad in 1 · 7 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 10/100.9 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/102 goals/match

2.2 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/40.78 xG/match

2.38 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/42 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 10/1012.3 shots/match

15.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 10/1017 shots/match

4.9 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/103.2 shots/match

6.3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/10▲5.7 shots/match

53%Possessionseason · 10/1040.6%

4.7 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/102.8 corners/match

6.3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/106.1 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/1—

13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1013.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1010%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1070%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Malmo FF71.9

Halmstad3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Malmo FF59.4

Halmstad17.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Malmo FF14.6

Halmstad13.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Malmo FF40.6

Halmstad78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Malmo FF75

Halmstad75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Malmo FF40.6

Halmstad3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Malmo FF53.9

Halmstad30.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

3 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲2.2 goals/match

2.2 xG/match▲Expected goals4/30.93 xG/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shots5/513.6 shots/match

5.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

57.6%Possession5/541.6%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102 goals/match

2.2 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.78 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.3 shots/match

4.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match

53%Possession10/1040.6%

4.7 corners/matchCorners10/102.8 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

13.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102 goals/match

2.2 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.78 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.3 shots/match

4.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match

53%Possession10/1040.6%

4.7 corners/matchCorners10/102.8 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

13.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches

2.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.4 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

15.2 shots/match▲Shots5/512 shots/match

5.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match

56.4%Possession5/535.4%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.94 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples10 / 10home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 May 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4