Allsvenskan · 2026Sat, 30 May 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeStrawberry ArenaFull-time recap

AIK Stockholm

LDLDW

0–3Full-time recap

Sirius

DWWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	AIK Stockholm	Sirius
Shots	19 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Possession	57%	43%
Corners	9 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	4 cards/match	3 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AIK Stockholm's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

AIK Stockholm have a visible home split

moderate

AIK Stockholm's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season14.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	17 shots/match	14.2 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

AIK Stockholm favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Sirius in 7 · 6 too close

1.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/10▲2.7 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/10▲1 goals/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/42.56 xG/match

1.88 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/40.63 xG/match

14.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1014.7 shots/match

13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/10▲12.2 shots/match

5.3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/10▲5.6 shots/match

4.7 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/10▲3.5 shots/match

53.5%Possessionseason · 10/1047.5%

6.7 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/104.9 corners/match

4.9 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 10/105.3 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/1—

12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1012.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

10%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/10▲40%

80%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/10▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AIK Stockholm78.1

Sirius34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AIK Stockholm56.3

Sirius84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AIK Stockholm44.8

Sirius83.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AIK Stockholm46.9

Sirius84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AIK Stockholm34.4

Sirius59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AIK Stockholm96.9

Sirius59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AIK Stockholm66.4

Sirius68.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.6 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

13.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.6 shots/match

4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.8 shots/match

53.2%Possession5/548.6%

5.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.7 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲2.56 xG/match

14.2 shots/matchShots10/1014.7 shots/match

5.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.6 shots/match

53.5%Possession10/1047.5%

6.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.9 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.7 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲2.56 xG/match

14.2 shots/matchShots10/1014.7 shots/match

5.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.6 shots/match

53.5%Possession10/1047.5%

6.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.9 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.8 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

17 shots/match▲Shots5/513.6 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55.6 shots/match

54.6%Possession5/546.8%

7.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.04 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples10 / 10home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 May 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4