Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 31 May 2026, 12:00 UTCFull timeHitachi Energy ArenaFull-time recap
45Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVasteras SK FKIFK Goteborg
Shots20 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match6 shots/match
Possession60%40%
Corners7 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: IFK Goteborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Vasteras SK FK's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

IFK Goteborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

IFK Goteborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vasteras SK FK have a visible home split

moderate

Vasteras SK FK's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Vasteras SK FK favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · IFK Goteborg in 6 · 5 too close

1.7 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/101.3 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/102.2 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/51.36 xG/match
1.95 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/51.48 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1015.4 shots/match
14.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1014 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/104.9 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/105.2 shots/match
48.1%Possessionseason · 10/1051.3%
4.9 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/104.9 corners/match
5.7 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/105.1 corners/match
Cardsseason · 1/1
12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1012.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
10%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/100%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1060%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Vasteras SK FK34.4
IFK Goteborg65.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Vasteras SK FK28.1
IFK Goteborg55.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Vasteras SK FK27.1
IFK Goteborg25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Vasteras SK FK3.1
IFK Goteborg65.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Vasteras SK FK71.9
IFK Goteborg65.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 55%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Vasteras SK FK59.4
IFK Goteborg59.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Vasteras SK FK37.5
IFK Goteborg64.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.8 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
11 shots/matchShots5/515.8 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/55.2 shots/match
50%Possession5/545.8%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.2 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals6/51.36 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots10/1015.4 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/104.9 shots/match
48.1%Possession10/1051.3%
4.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.9 corners/match
Cards1/1
12.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.2 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals6/51.36 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots10/1015.4 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/104.9 shots/match
48.1%Possession10/1051.3%
4.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.9 corners/match
Cards1/1
12.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 6 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/61.67 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/62.67 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.3 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots5/615.7 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/64.5 shots/match
52.8%Possession5/652.3%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/65 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/612.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.79 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 May 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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