PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 20263Arena

Hammarby IF 4–1 Malmö FF · Allsvenskan

4–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Hammarby IF won 4–1.

Shots
2810
Shots on target
123
Expected goals
3.621.04
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hammarby FF beat Malmo FF 4–1. Recorded in this match (Hammarby FF – Malmo FF): shots 28–10, shots on target 12–3, expected goals 3.62–1.04, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hammarby FF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Hammarby FF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

21.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHammarby FF · Malmo FF13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHammarby FFMalmo FFBaseline
Shots21.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against9.63 shots/match16.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Hammarby FF's recent record differs from the season

weak

Hammarby FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match2.63 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Hammarby FF have a visible home split

moderate

Hammarby FF's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

25.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season21.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots25.8 shots/match21.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots28 shots10 shotsHammarby IF 28 shots, Malmö FF 10 shots
  • Shots on target12 shots3 shotsHammarby IF 12 shots, Malmö FF 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.62 xG1.04 xGHammarby IF 3.62 xG, Malmö FF 1.04 xG
  • Possession51%49%Hammarby IF 51%, Malmö FF 49%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersHammarby IF 10 corners, Malmö FF 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls16 foulsHammarby IF 13 fouls, Malmö FF 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsHammarby IF 0 cards, Malmö FF 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Hammarby IF
1Draws
2Malmö FF
Malmö FF — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan1–3
Hammarby IF — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan2–0
Hammarby IF — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan2–2
Malmö FF — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan2–0
Hammarby IF — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hammarby IF favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Malmö FF in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hammarby IF8 matchesMalmö FF8 matches
2.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.63 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.88 goals/match
2.74 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/31.85 xG/match
21.8 shots/match ▲Shots8/813.5 shots/match
7.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/84.38 shots/match
61.4% ●Possession8/850.4%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners8/85.13 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls8/812.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHammarby IFMalmö FF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headHammarby IF — Malmö FF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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