Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 17 May 2026, 12:00 UTCFull time3ArenaFull-time recap

Hammarby FF

WDDWW

4–1Full-time recap

Malmo FF

WLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Hammarby FF	Malmo FF
Shots	28 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	12 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	3.62 xG/match▲	1.04 xG/match
Possession	51%	49%
Corners	10 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	16 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hammarby FF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Hammarby FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Hammarby FF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Hammarby FF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

21.8 shots/match▲ShotsHammarby FF · Malmo FF13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Hammarby FF	Malmo FF	Baseline
Shots	21.8 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	13.8 shots/match
Shots against	9.63 shots/match	16.6 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Hammarby FF's recent record differs from the season

weak

Hammarby FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.63 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	2.63 goals/match	1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Hammarby FF have a visible home split

moderate

Hammarby FF's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

25.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season21.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	25.8 shots/match	21.8 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Hammarby FF favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Malmo FF in 1 · 5 too close

2.63 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/81.63 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 8/81.88 goals/match

2.74 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/31.85 xG/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/32.6 xG/match

21.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 8/813.5 shots/match

9.63 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 8/816.6 shots/match

7.38 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 8/84.38 shots/match

3 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 8/86.75 shots/match

61.4%Possessionseason · 8/850.4%

5.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/85.13 corners/match

2.5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/86.88 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/812.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

38%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/825%

88%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hammarby FF96.9

Malmo FF59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hammarby FF94.8

Malmo FF55.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hammarby FF96.9

Malmo FF15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hammarby FF96.9

Malmo FF53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hammarby FF12.5

Malmo FF46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hammarby FF71.9

Malmo FF46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hammarby FF69.6

Malmo FF46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.6 goals/match

2.2 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.85 xG/match

22 shots/match▲Shots5/514.4 shots/match

6.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.8 shots/match

61.2%Possession5/552.4%

6.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches

2.63 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.63 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.88 goals/match

2.74 xG/match▲Expected goals4/31.85 xG/match

21.8 shots/match▲Shots8/813.5 shots/match

7.38 shots/match▲Shots on target8/84.38 shots/match

61.4%Possession8/850.4%

5.38 corners/matchCorners8/85.13 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls8/812.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches

2.63 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.63 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.88 goals/match

2.74 xG/match▲Expected goals4/31.85 xG/match

21.8 shots/match▲Shots8/813.5 shots/match

7.38 shots/match▲Shots on target8/84.38 shots/match

61.4%Possession8/850.4%

5.38 corners/matchCorners8/85.13 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls8/812.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches

3.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

3.37 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

25.8 shots/match▲Shots5/512 shots/match

9.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match

60.8%Possession5/549.6%

6.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4