PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Cruzeiro vs Internacional · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.611.14
Expected goals
1.511.38
Shots
14.914.7
Possession
55.4%47.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: cruzeiro's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Cruzeiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cruzeiro's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.61 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.61 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Internacional in 6 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro28 matchesInternacional28 matches
1.61 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281.14 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.38 xG/match
14.9 shots/matchShots28/2814.7 shots/match
5.32 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/284.32 shots/match
55.4% ●Possession28/2847.5%
5.25 corners/matchCorners28/28● 6.04 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/52.6 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls28/2816.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cruzeiro
1Draws
2Internacional
Internacional — Cruzeiro · Serie A1–2
Cruzeiro — Internacional · Serie A2–1
Internacional — Cruzeiro · Serie A3–0
Cruzeiro — Internacional · Serie A0–0
Internacional — Cruzeiro · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness52 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 2 Dec 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroInternacional
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headCruzeiro — Internacional
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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