PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Internacional vs Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.141.31
Expected goals
1.381.47
Shots
14.716.9
Possession
47.5%49.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: RB Bragantino's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

RB Bragantino's recent record differs from the season

weak

RB Bragantino's last-five shots average is above their season average.

21 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots21 shots/match16.9 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.04 corners/match ●CornersInternacional · RB Bragantino5.9 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricInternacionalRB BragantinoBaseline
Corners6.04 corners/match5.9 corners/match5.21 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 6 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional28 matchesRed Bull Bragantino29 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored28/29▲ 1.31 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed28/291.21 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals24/25▲ 1.47 xG/match
14.7 shots/matchShots28/29▲ 16.9 shots/match
4.32 shots/matchShots on target28/29▲ 5.48 shots/match
47.5%Possession28/29● 49.7%
6.04 corners/match ●Corners28/295.9 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/54.8 cards/match
16.4 fouls/matchFouls28/2913.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Internacional
1Draws
1Red Bull Bragantino
Red Bull Bragantino — Internacional · Serie A3–1
Internacional — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A3–1
Red Bull Bragantino — Internacional · Serie A1–3
Internacional — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A4–1
Red Bull Bragantino — Internacional · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness49 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInternacionalRed Bull Bragantino
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headInternacional — Red Bull Bragantino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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