Serie A · 2026Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Santos 2–1 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Santos won 2–1.

Shots
816
Shots on target
42
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santos beat Vasco DA Gama 2–1. Recorded in this match (Santos – Vasco DA Gama): shots 8–16, shots on target 4–2, possession 41%–59%, corners 5–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7 corners/matchCornersSantos · Vasco DA Gama● 7.25 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSantosVasco DA GamaBaseline
Corners7 corners/match7.25 corners/match5.17 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Vasco DA Gama show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Vasco DA Gama's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsSantos · Vasco DA Gama21.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSantosVasco DA GamaBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match21.3 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Vasco DA Gama have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.3%PossessionSantos · Vasco DA Gama● 60.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSantosVasco DA GamaBaseline
Possession50.3%60.3%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots16 shotsSantos 8 shots, Vasco da Gama 16 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsSantos 4 shots, Vasco da Gama 2 shots
  • Possession41%59%Santos 41%, Vasco da Gama 59%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersSantos 5 corners, Vasco da Gama 2 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls17 foulsSantos 19 fouls, Vasco da Gama 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardSantos 1 card, Vasco da Gama 1 card
  • Passes311 passes454 passesSantos 311 passes, Vasco da Gama 454 passes
  • Pass accuracy78%86%Santos 78%, Vasco da Gama 86%
  • Shots inside box6 shots8 shotsSantos 6 shots, Vasco da Gama 8 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block8 blocksSantos 1 block, Vasco da Gama 8 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save2 savesSantos 1 save, Vasco da Gama 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesSantos 2 offsides, Vasco da Gama 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Santos
0Draws
2Vasco da Gama
Santos — Vasco da Gama · Serie A0–6
Vasco da Gama — Santos · Serie A2–1
Santos — Vasco da Gama · Serie A4–1
Vasco da Gama — Santos · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santos favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santos4 matchesVasco da Gama4 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/40.75 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.5 goals/match
13.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 21.3 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 6 shots/match
50.3%Possession4/4● 60.3%
7 corners/matchCorners4/4● 7.25 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls4/414.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 27 Feb 2026, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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